Flemington Race 7, 4.30pm
Group 1 Australian Guineas (1600m)
$750,000

The lay of the land

A bit early to tell at this stage, but the rail is back in the true and the track should play well.  There’s no rain forecast.

The speed story

Provided it gets a run, Theanswermyfriend will lead, whilst Prized Icon and Seaburge will be just off the pace.  Attention and Legless Veuve will be handy and Morton’s Fork caught wide.

Divine Prophet, Harlow Gold and Fuhryk will get back.

In the mix

Divine Prophet (Hawkes / Dunn) is the Caulfield Guineas winner from the spring.  He got back first-up and worked home okay, and has also had a trial just to tighten him up for this.

Seaburge (Hayes & Dabernig / Zahra) was disappointing first-up, sprinting and then peaking at about the 120m. He’ll strip fitter for this but I still have him just below his best.

Hey Doc (McEvoy / Currie) looks great here.  He’s stepping up in prep and won well over 1400m last start, and gets the inside barrier here and will box seat.  I think he’ll improve again.

Land Of Plenty (Begg / Arnold) was good last start where he was wide all the way but stuck on well.  He’s had two runs back now and peaked last prep over a mile – I think he’ll run to his peak here.

Legless Veuve (Webb / K Mallyon) was reasonable first up in winning, albeit in a slow time, and then had an issue last start.  I’m not convinced there’s a strong 1600m in her.

As long as he gets a run, Theanswermyfriend (Smerdon) is a genuine chance here.  He was super last start with a strong win at Snadown.

Inside Agent (Blackiston / B Rawiller) over-raced in the blinkers last start and gets them off here.  The big track will suit but he’ll get back.

Attention (Snowden / Prebble) ran on well at Caulfield but has the very quick backup here.  I think he probably peaked last start and I have him coming just off that.

So Si Bon (Laing / Oliver) was first-up here over 1200m, was well-held, and now jumps straight to the mile.  This seems to me to be an overly rushed prep.

Both runs from Morton’s Fork (O’Shea / Williams) this prep have been well below his best.  He’ll improve slightly but has drawn the car park and I’m happy to oppose him.

Prized Icon (J Cummings / Yendall) is obviously high quality, but only just held ground upon resuming last start.  Later in the prep for him I think.

I don’t really like Fuhryk (Hayes & Dabernig / Parish) here.  It was scratched at the gate last week, and is now up to a mile seven days later.  Williams also gets off.

The filly Harlow Gold (Hayes & Dabernig / Bayliss) was okay last start and should improve, but I’m just not sure she’s good enough against this lot.

Put a line through…

It’s the first run at the 1600m for Oak Door (Smerdon / Lane), and he also gets the wide barrier.  I’m happy to be against him.

Snitzson (Hayes & Dabernig / A Mallyon) pulled up lame last start after a six week break, and there’s a strong query at the mile.

Anaheim (Busuttin & Young / Callow) and Throssell (Maher / Meech) don’t have the class to prevail here.

Trev’s Tip

Hey Doc is on top for mine, with Divine Prophet, Attention, Theanswermyfriend and Land of Plenty behind him.  There’s a little bit of value about in early markets for all of these as well.

Trevor Lawson is a full-time professional punter with a highly successful record over 15 years. His Melbourne Ratings package gives you access to his early bets, assessed prices, speed map comments and betting strategies for all metro Melbourne meetings.

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