Our flagship racing products at Champion Bets are our race ratings memberships, as they give you the full professional punting experience. Race ratings include a full set of rated prices for all runners as well as betting strategies for each race. This makes it simple to identify overlays and ensure you’re betting to value at all times.
We’re going to check out Melbourne Ratings and see what members get. Trevor provides this full ratings service for members for all Melbourne metro meetings… so you get it for Saturdays, midweek metro meetings, Friday nights at Moonee Valley, and any other feature days such as public holidays and Spring Carnival racedays.
Members receive a ratings spreadsheet containing all races for the meeting. Here’s a sample of what a race looks like on Trevor’s ratings sheet. As you can see, it gives you all the information you need to bet…
The first seven columns are regular form guide information. This consists of saddlecloth number, last ten starts, horse name, trainer, jockey, barrier and weight.
Following that comes the information from Trevor himself:
Map: the runner’s expected settling position in the race, as per Trevor’s speed map. As a member, you also get a copy of Trevor’s speed maps for the meeting.
Market percentage (Mar %): this is the winning chance percentage that Trevor has assigned to the horse after doing the form. As a punter, Trevor frames his markets to around 85% or 90%: this builds in a margin for him on his rated prices when looking for overlays.
Rated (rated price): this is calculated from the market percentage, and expresses the horse’s chances as a decimal price. If the bookies are offering a price greater than this, the horse is an overlay (‘overs’) or a value bet. If the available price is lower, it’s an underlay (‘unders’) and backing the horse would not represent value.
Stake: this is the recommended stake if backing the horse. The default setting is to collect five units (ie. 5% of your total betting bank) on the rated price for each bet. However, if Trevor is more or less confident on a certain race, they may adjust the confidence level on the sheet accordingly. The example shows a confidence level of 100% (the default) – adjusting this simply changes the figures in the stake column in line. For example, changing this figure to 200% would double all stake amounts. You can change this yourself on the sheet as well to reflect increased or decreased confidence in the race.
Outlay: this is simply a $ figure for the stake based on your own unit size. The default is $100 per unit, however punters enter your own betting bank into the spreadsheet and the outlays automatically adjust to reflect their unit size.
That covers the basic information on the sheet. It can easily be printed out to take to the track or pub.
For those at home in front of the computer, the spreadsheet also offers interactive features to help you to calculate and track your bets easily.
The interactive options are as follows:
Play: there’s three different options you can select here: Back, Save or Scratched:
Back: select this when you’re backing the horse for a full bet to be calculated.
Save: this allows you to automatically calculate a saver bet, rather than a bet at the full calculated stake. This calculates a stake on that horse that will see you break even on the race overall (allowing for your other bet/s) should it win.
Scratched: if a horse is scratched, this automatically recalculate the entire race market by redistributing the market percentages from the non-runner to the remaining starters. This adjusts the rated prices and stakes for a post-scratching market.
Odds: enter the fixed odds you obtained on your bet.
Book / Time: for record keeping purposes and to easily follow up your bets, you can record the bookmaker you bet with and the time you placed your bet.
Result: simply enter ‘1’ against the winner to calculate your collects and profit.
Stake: you can adjust the stake column manually here as well – the cell will turn yellow and the outlay will adjust.
Over a meeting, this is a great interactive tool to easily piggy-back a pro punter, calculate your bets, and track your overall activity and financial position. Everything you need to know about your day on the punt is right there in front of you.
Mathematically, betting to value is the only way to make money on the punt. Trevor’s ratings allow you to do this, and the ratings sheet is a great way to track it.