Trevor Lawson’s 2017 Caulfield Cup Day Quaddie

Our Melbourne man Trevor Lawson gives us his runners to include for what will be a massive quaddie pool.

Caulfield quaddie tips

Caulfield Cup quaddie tips

3ml of rain yesterday so they’re putting 10ml on today. Assume the track will be a Good 3. Generally when the rail goes out to 6m it suits on-pacers.

Race 7

#1 Faatinah (Bowman / Hayes & Dabernig)
Comes through Group 1 Moir Stakes where it had little luck in the straight. Box seats here.

#5 Badajoz (McEvoy / Cummings)
In consistent form including last two wins. Has gun jockey on.

#8 Snitty Kitty (Mertens / Dwyer)
Terrific first up from a spell. Natural speedster who sill sit on the leader here.

#9 Super Too (Costin / Conners)
Won past two in quickly run races. Leads again here. Only has to hold rating.

#10 Property (Williams / Smerdon)
3yo resuming having run in high quality 2yo races. Only has to be near top.

Race 8

#1 Humidor (Lane / Weir)
Produced peak figure 3rd up over 1600m from relatively low base. Back to old ways last start when rated down and laid in badly. Gear changes here but not sure it can return to same figure.

#3 Johannes Vermeer (Melham / O’Brien)
Jumped well before being restrained last start. In traffic jam coming to corner. Produced 6th best Last 600m, 3rd best L400 and quickest L200 of the day. Significant jockey change.

#7 Ventura Storm (Oliver / Hayes & Dabernig)
Has gradually improved each run. Ran through the line last time over 2000m behind Winx. Looks ideally suited out to 2400m.

#11 Bonneval (McEvoy / Baker & Forsman)
Won its first two runs this prep and then looked a little plain last start but did pull up lame. Doubt it can step off its Underwood rating.

#14 Abbey Marie (Mertens / Kent)
Ran well 2nd up then no luck last two runs. Has perfect prep to springboard here. Always looked like it will be suited by the trip.

#15 Harlem (Schofield / Hayes & Dabernig)
Produced big spike 2nd up then a little flat last start but was jumping to 2500m for the first time. Drops significantly in weight. Has gear change with blinkers going on. Can bounce back here.

#16 Amelie’s Star (Williams / Weir)
Had no luck prior to last start Flemington win. Was strong through the line. Well weighted here. Good record this trip.

Comments on other Caulfield Cup runners:

Marmelo – Has Timeform rating around 119. Passed two wins have been over 3000m. Might need further.
Jon Snow – racing well this prep. Has rough chance but other horses better weighted.
He’s Our Rokki – going to trip for first time. Likely to struggle. 
Sir Isaac Newton – may struggle to run trip but will lead and ensure a good tempo.
Wicklow Brave – Timeform ratings are well down on this time last year. 9yo drawn wide. Prefer others.
Inference – going well this prep. Has rough chance but best form is on wet tracks.
Single Gaze – racing consistently but lacks the class to be a serious chance here.
Hardham – won well 2nd up then poor when long odds on favourite. Hard to see it improving enough.
Boom Time – held on well on-pace last start but lacks the class for the quality of race
Lord Fandango – won well last start in Herbert Power but would need to make a significant jump off that rating to be competitive here.

 

Trev’s in really good form right now and tomorrow at Flemington he will be finding the best value runners for Melbourne ratings members. Get on board for best bets at 9am and then a full set of ratings to attack the afternoon.

Race 9

#1 Foxplay (McEvoy / Waller)
Racing consistently in higher grade races. Maps well.

#2 Global Glamour (Clark / Waterhouse & Bott)
Resumes. Solid fresh. Will roll forward from the barrier.

#7 Savanna Amour (Melham / Meagher)
Racing well. Only has to hold rating. Did win this track and distance in autumn.

#8 Now Or Later (Williams / Smerdon)
Hit the line strongly running quickest L400 and L200 of the day. Should be able to hold rating here.

#10 Ravi (Bowman / Snowden)
Had no luck last start when got well out of ground before flashing home. Has claims with even luck.

#14 Merriest (Oliver / O’brien)
Has improved rating each run this prep. Ran well last start in similar class. Can hold rating here.

#16 Swampland (Symons / Dwyer)
Consistent mare who has been racing in career best form. Can hold rating here.

Race 10

#1 Fuhryk (Williams / Hayes & Dabernig)
Had excuses both runs this prep. Was consistent in previous prep, can bounce back here.

#3 Nieta (Bowman / Thompson)
Racing well this prep in better class races. Has good record at this distance and maps well.

#6 Conchita (Mertens / Perry)
Got further back than normal 1st up before hitting the line strongly. Will be strong late here.

#7 Modern Wonder (Baster / Corstens)
Consistent mare in good form this prep. Can hold rating here.

Trev’s in really good form right now and tomorrow at Flemington he will be finding the best value runners for Melbourne ratings members. Get on board for best bets at 9am and then a full set of ratings to attack the afternoon.