Caulfield quaddie

Race 6

6 Duke Of Ellington (Maher / Nolen): Ran well at Flemington before being unsuited at Stawell last start.

7 Hursley (Waller / Stackhouse): honest horse, performs to the same level every time it goes out.  Has ran well twice over this course.

8 Zahspeed (O’Brien / Thornton): fourth-up from a spell, which has been a winner in two previous campaigns.  Over a similar trip to those wins here.

9 O’Lonera (Alderson / Mertens): ran terrific three runs back at Yarra Glen before getting back to last last start.  Won twice over this trip last winter and is a sneaky chance at odds.

10 Overberg (Maher / Yendall): worked up on the speed last start before tiring late.  Fifth run in, this campaign, out to 2000m, ready to peak.

11 Grand Dreamer (Smerdon / Thompson): quick jump to 2000m here but has had a good trial since last run.  Has always looked a 2000m horse, may want it wetter than this but is a chance.

12 Charlevoix (Hayes & Dabernig / A Mallyon): second-up for the new camp.  Was never likely first up but does run well at 2000 metres plus.

15 Tears Of Joy (Kavanagh / Allen): was terrible last week, but did the same last prep and improved hugely off a quick backup to run well over 2000m.  Could do the same here.

Race 7

1 Mongolian Wolf (Weir / Aitken): former New Zealand horse, has had one start for Weir on the heavy and ran away from them.  Was entered for Doomben but couldn’t get a flight so runs here.  Giving plenty of weight to the field, but it probably should be more.

2 All Out Of Love (Hayes & Dabernig / Cory Parish): ran on strong over 1600m at Pakenham, running the quickest sectionals of the day, and was strong through line.  Will get the 2000m.

5 Ceylon (Busuttin & Young / Allen): Ran solidly at Bendigo, first time at the trip here but looks to be able to handle it.

8 Fontein Lad (Eurell / Beriman): very consistent horse.  Slightly back in trip, but always runs well at this distance.

14 So Poysed (Laming / Mertens): ran well over 1400m at Bendigo and Caulfield.  Was well beaten last start but finished okay behind a leader who smashed them all. Sneaky chance at odds.

15 San Vincenzo (Moroney / J Bayliss): will race on the pace.  Was solid through the line at Benalla and can handle the distance.

Race 8

1 Wise Hero (John Price / Allen): ran well first-up in a blanket finish.  Honest.

2 Artie Dee Two (Weir / Nolen): ran terrific at the Valley and goes best there.  I liked him last start but he blew up.

5 Bord De Gain (Kavanagh / Thompson): comes through the same race as Wise Hero, is honest enough.

8 Sheriff John Stone (Maher / Caserta): another through that same race.  Got a long way back from a wide barrier and is drawn better here.

10 Katsuro (Mick Price / Newitt): from the same race again and another honest goer.

11 Enigman (Maher / Mertens): resumes for second prep.  Won on debut at Bairnsdale and then had no luck at Flemington.  Has trialled alright since and could be a natural improver.

Race 9

2 Tykiato (Price / Nolen): won over 1100m here on Boxing Day.  Was also good here last start at 1400m, but back to 1200m tomorrow is better.

7 Grey Street (McArdle / Thompson): not a great record at 1200m, but past two were good at 1100m and might be stronger this time around.

9 Majestic Lass (Hayes & Dabernig / Aitken): sneaky chance… battled away well first-up on a good pace, produced peak rating here over this distance second-up last prep.  Natural improver.

10 Invincible Heart (Mick Price / Mertens): coming off a freshen-up.  Trialled okay, has ran well here in the past, some chance.

15 Carterista (Eurell / Beriman): missed the start last time out before running the best sectionals of the day and running right on.  Ran second here on debut over 1100m.  Fourth-up here so should be fit and ready to go.

$216 for 15%


Trevor Lawson’s Melbourne Ratings give you the assessed prices, speed map comments and smart betting strategy of a highly successful professional punter.

If you are having a Saturday quaddie, you’d be crazy not to do so at Centrebet since you’ll be paid out at best tote.

If you’re placing your quaddies anywhere else, you’re being shortchanged.

Join the new Centrebet today.

Centrebet quaddies

1 COMMENT

  1. After scratchings Trevor is left with 840 combos and to make the maths easy a $100 flexi-bet would buy12% of the Quaddie Divy. But if a favourite quaddie salutes the actual return could be as low as $53 for a loss of $47 !
    So a better strategy is to dutch bet each combo in proportion to its odds. This would provide a uniform estimated return of around $700 no matter which combo wins. My 180 flexi bets are show below.

    Lets see what the better strategy is.

    Cheers,
    Anomaly Nick

    Leg1 Leg2 Leg3 Leg4 Prob Combos Outlay FBP Est. Divy
    07.10 01 01 02 0.358115% 2 $3.18 1.59 $447
    06 01 01 02 0.137737% 1 $1.17 1.17 $581
    07.10 01 11 02 0.260447% 2 $2.22 1.11 $614
    06 01 11 02 0.100172% 1 $0.86 86.0000% $799
    09.11 01 01 02 0.198953% 2 $1.69 84.5000% $804
    07.10 01 10 02 0.179058% 2 $1.52 76.0000% $894
    07.10 01 01 07 0.166268% 2 $1.42 71.0000% $962
    08.12 01 01 02 0.158397% 2 $1.35 67.5000% $1,010
    09.11 01 11 02 0.144693% 2 $1.23 61.5000% $1,106
    07.10 01 01 09.10 0.282411% 4 $2.40 60.0000% $1,133
    06 01 10 02 0.068868% 1 $0.59 59.0000% $1,162
    07.10 01 02.05 02 0.273470% 4 $2.33 58.2500% $1,170
    06 01 01 07 0.063949% 1 $0.55 55.0000% $1,251
    07.10 01 11 07 0.120922% 2 $1.03 51.5000% $1,323
    08.12 01 11 02 0.115198% 2 $0.98 49.0000% $1,389
    06 01 01 09.10 0.108619% 2 $0.93 46.5000% $1,473
    06 01 02.05 02 0.105181% 2 $0.90 45.0000% $1,521
    07.10 01 11 09.10 0.205390% 4 $1.75 43.7500% $1,558
    09.11 01 10 02 0.099476% 2 $0.85 42.5000% $1,608
    06 01 11 07 0.046508% 1 $0.40 40.0000% $1,720
    09.11 01 01 07 0.092371% 2 $0.79 39.5000% $1,732
    07.10 01 08 02 0.089529% 2 $0.76 38.0000% $1,787
    07.10 02.08 01 02 0.169291% 4 $1.44 36.0000% $1,890
    07.10 01 10 07 0.083134% 2 $0.71 35.5000% $1,925
    08.12 01 10 02 0.079199% 2 $0.68 34.0000% $2,020
    06 01 11 09.10 0.078996% 2 $0.68 34.0000% $2,025
    09.11 01 01 09.10 0.156895% 4 $1.34 33.5000% $2,040
    09.11 01 02.05 02 0.151928% 4 $1.29 32.2500% $2,106
    08.12 01 01 07 0.073541% 2 $0.63 31.5000% $2,176
    07.10 05.14 01 02 0.143246% 4 $1.22 30.5000% $2,234
    07.10 01 10 09.10 0.141205% 4 $1.20 30.0000% $2,266
    06 01 08 02 0.034434% 1 $0.30 30.0000% $2,323
    09.11 01 11 07 0.067179% 2 $0.58 29.0000% $2,382
    06 02.08 01 02 0.065112% 2 $0.56 28.0000% $2,457
    06 01 10 07 0.031975% 1 $0.28 28.0000% $2,502
    07.10 01 02.05 07 0.126968% 4 $1.08 27.0000% $2,520
    08.12 01 01 09.10 0.124912% 4 $1.06 26.5000% $2,562
    07.10 02.08 11 02 0.123121% 4 $1.05 26.2500% $2,599
    08.12 01 02.05 02 0.120958% 4 $1.03 25.7500% $2,646
    09.11 01 11 09.10 0.114105% 4 $0.97 24.2500% $2,804
    06 05.14 01 02 0.055095% 2 $0.47 23.5000% $2,904
    06 01 10 09.10 0.054310% 2 $0.47 23.5000% $2,946
    07.10 01 02.05 09.10 0.215659% 8 $1.83 22.8750% $2,968
    08.12 01 11 07 0.053485% 2 $0.46 23.0000% $2,992
    07.10 05.14 11 02 0.104179% 4 $0.89 22.2500% $3,072
    09.11 01 08 02 0.049738% 2 $0.43 21.5000% $3,217
    06 01 02.05 07 0.048834% 2 $0.42 21.0000% $3,276
    06 02.08 11 02 0.047354% 2 $0.41 20.5000% $3,379
    09.11 02.08 01 02 0.094050% 4 $0.80 20.0000% $3,402
    09.11 01 10 07 0.046185% 2 $0.40 20.0000% $3,464
    08.12 01 11 09.10 0.090845% 4 $0.78 19.5000% $3,522
    07.10 02.08 10 02 0.084645% 4 $0.72 18.0000% $3,780
    07.10 01 08 07 0.041567% 2 $0.36 18.0000% $3,849
    06 01 02.05 09.10 0.082946% 4 $0.71 17.7500% $3,858
    06 05.14 11 02 0.040069% 2 $0.35 17.5000% $3,993
    09.11 05.14 01 02 0.079581% 4 $0.68 17.0000% $4,021
    08.12 01 08 02 0.039599% 2 $0.34 17.0000% $4,040
    07.10 02.08 01 07 0.078599% 4 $0.67 16.7500% $4,071
    09.11 01 10 09.10 0.078447% 4 $0.67 16.7500% $4,079
    08.12 02.08 01 02 0.074879% 4 $0.64 16.0000% $4,274
    08.12 01 10 07 0.036771% 2 $0.32 16.0000% $4,351
    07.10 05.14 10 02 0.071623% 4 $0.61 15.2500% $4,468
    07.10 01 08 09.10 0.070603% 4 $0.60 15.0000% $4,532
    09.11 01 02.05 07 0.070538% 4 $0.60 15.0000% $4,537
    09.11 02.08 11 02 0.068400% 4 $0.59 14.7500% $4,678
    07.10 02.08 01 09.10 0.133503% 8 $1.14 14.2500% $4,794
    07.10 05.14 01 07 0.066507% 4 $0.57 14.2500% $4,812
    06 02.08 10 02 0.032556% 2 $0.28 14.0000% $4,915
    07.10 02.08 02.05 02 0.129277% 8 $1.10 13.7500% $4,951
    06 01 08 07 0.015987% 1 $0.14 14.0000% $5,004
    08.12 05.14 01 02 0.063359% 4 $0.54 13.5000% $5,051
    08.12 01 10 09.10 0.062456% 4 $0.53 13.2500% $5,124
    06 02.08 01 07 0.030230% 2 $0.26 13.0000% $5,293
    09.11 01 02.05 09.10 0.119811% 8 $1.02 12.7500% $5,342
    09.11 05.14 11 02 0.057877% 4 $0.50 12.5000% $5,529
    07.10 02.08 11 07 0.057163% 4 $0.49 12.2500% $5,598
    07.10 05.14 01 09.10 0.112964% 8 $0.96 12.0000% $5,666
    08.12 01 02.05 07 0.056159% 4 $0.48 12.0000% $5,698
    06 05.14 10 02 0.027547% 2 $0.24 12.0000% $5,808
    07.10 05.14 02.05 02 0.109388% 8 $0.93 11.6250% $5,851
    08.12 02.08 11 02 0.054457% 4 $0.47 11.7500% $5,876
    06 01 08 09.10 0.027155% 2 $0.24 12.0000% $5,892
    06 02.08 01 09.10 0.051347% 4 $0.44 11.0000% $6,232
    06 05.14 01 07 0.025580% 2 $0.22 11.0000% $6,255
    06 02.08 02.05 02 0.049722% 4 $0.43 10.7500% $6,436
    07.10 02.08 11 09.10 0.097093% 8 $0.83 10.3750% $6,592
    07.10 05.14 11 07 0.048369% 4 $0.42 10.5000% $6,616
    08.12 01 02.05 09.10 0.095388% 8 $0.81 10.1250% $6,709
    09.11 02.08 10 02 0.047025% 4 $0.40 10.0000% $6,805
    09.11 01 08 07 0.023093% 2 $0.20 10.0000% $6,929
    08.12 05.14 11 02 0.046079% 4 $0.40 10.0000% $6,945
    06 02.08 11 07 0.021986% 2 $0.19 9.5000% $7,277
    09.11 02.08 01 07 0.043666% 4 $0.38 9.5000% $7,328
    06 05.14 01 09.10 0.043448% 4 $0.37 9.2500% $7,365
    07.10 02.08 08 02 0.042323% 4 $0.36 9.0000% $7,561
    06 05.14 02.05 02 0.042072% 4 $0.36 9.0000% $7,606
    07.10 05.14 11 09.10 0.082156% 8 $0.70 8.7500% $7,790
    09.11 05.14 10 02 0.039791% 4 $0.34 8.5000% $8,042
    07.10 02.08 10 07 0.039300% 4 $0.34 8.5000% $8,143
    09.11 01 08 09.10 0.039224% 4 $0.34 8.5000% $8,158
    08.12 02.08 10 02 0.037439% 4 $0.32 8.0000% $8,547
    06 02.08 11 09.10 0.037344% 4 $0.32 8.0000% $8,569
    06 05.14 11 07 0.018603% 2 $0.16 8.0000% $8,601
    09.11 02.08 01 09.10 0.074168% 8 $0.63 7.8750% $8,629
    09.11 05.14 01 07 0.036948% 4 $0.32 8.0000% $8,661
    08.12 01 08 07 0.018385% 2 $0.16 8.0000% $8,703
    09.11 02.08 02.05 02 0.071820% 8 $0.61 7.6250% $8,911
    07.10 05.14 08 02 0.035812% 4 $0.31 7.7500% $8,936
    08.12 02.08 01 07 0.034765% 4 $0.30 7.5000% $9,205
    07.10 02.08 10 09.10 0.066752% 8 $0.57 7.1250% $9,588
    07.10 05.14 10 07 0.033254% 4 $0.29 7.2500% $9,623
    06 02.08 08 02 0.016278% 2 $0.14 7.0000% $9,829
    09.11 02.08 11 07 0.031757% 4 $0.27 6.7500% $10,076
    08.12 05.14 10 02 0.031679% 4 $0.27 6.7500% $10,101
    06 05.14 11 09.10 0.031598% 4 $0.27 6.7500% $10,127
    09.11 05.14 01 09.10 0.062758% 8 $0.54 6.7500% $10,198
    08.12 01 08 09.10 0.031228% 4 $0.27 6.7500% $10,247
    09.11 05.14 02.05 02 0.060771% 8 $0.52 6.5000% $10,531
    06 02.08 10 07 0.015115% 2 $0.13 6.5000% $10,585
    07.10 02.08 02.05 07 0.060021% 8 $0.51 6.3750% $10,663
    08.12 02.08 01 09.10 0.059049% 8 $0.51 6.3750% $10,838
    08.12 05.14 01 07 0.029417% 4 $0.25 6.2500% $10,878
    08.12 02.08 02.05 02 0.057180% 8 $0.49 6.1250% $11,193
    07.10 05.14 10 09.10 0.056482% 8 $0.48 6.0000% $11,331
    06 05.14 08 02 0.013774% 2 $0.12 6.0000% $11,616
    09.11 02.08 11 09.10 0.053941% 8 $0.46 5.7500% $11,865
    09.11 05.14 11 07 0.026872% 4 $0.23 5.7500% $11,909
    06 02.08 10 09.10 0.025674% 4 $0.22 5.5000% $12,464
    06 05.14 10 07 0.012790% 2 $0.11 5.5000% $12,510
    07.10 02.08 02.05 09.10 0.101948% 16 $0.87 5.4375% $12,555
    07.10 05.14 02.05 07 0.050787% 8 $0.44 5.5000% $12,602
    08.12 02.08 11 07 0.025284% 4 $0.22 5.5000% $12,656
    08.12 05.14 01 09.10 0.049965% 8 $0.43 5.3750% $12,809
    08.12 05.14 02.05 02 0.048383% 8 $0.42 5.2500% $13,228
    09.11 02.08 08 02 0.023513% 4 $0.20 5.0000% $13,610
    06 02.08 02.05 07 0.023085% 4 $0.20 5.0000% $13,862
    09.11 05.14 11 09.10 0.045642% 8 $0.39 4.8750% $14,022
    09.11 02.08 10 07 0.021833% 4 $0.19 4.7500% $14,657
    06 05.14 10 09.10 0.021724% 4 $0.19 4.7500% $14,730
    07.10 05.14 02.05 09.10 0.086264% 16 $0.74 4.6250% $14,838
    08.12 02.08 11 09.10 0.042945% 8 $0.37 4.6250% $14,903
    08.12 05.14 11 07 0.021394% 4 $0.19 4.7500% $14,958
    09.11 05.14 08 02 0.019895% 4 $0.17 4.2500% $16,084
    07.10 02.08 08 07 0.019650% 4 $0.17 4.2500% $16,285
    06 02.08 02.05 09.10 0.039211% 8 $0.34 4.2500% $16,322
    06 05.14 02.05 07 0.019534% 4 $0.17 4.2500% $16,382
    08.12 02.08 08 02 0.018720% 4 $0.16 4.0000% $17,094
    09.11 02.08 10 09.10 0.037084% 8 $0.32 4.0000% $17,258
    09.11 05.14 10 07 0.018474% 4 $0.16 4.0000% $17,321
    08.12 05.14 11 09.10 0.036338% 8 $0.31 3.8750% $17,612
    08.12 02.08 10 07 0.017383% 4 $0.15 3.7500% $18,409
    07.10 02.08 08 09.10 0.033376% 8 $0.29 3.6250% $19,176
    09.11 02.08 02.05 07 0.033345% 8 $0.29 3.6250% $19,193
    07.10 05.14 08 07 0.016627% 4 $0.15 3.7500% $19,246
    06 05.14 02.05 09.10 0.033178% 8 $0.29 3.6250% $19,290
    08.12 05.14 08 02 0.015840% 4 $0.14 3.5000% $20,202
    09.11 05.14 10 09.10 0.031379% 8 $0.27 3.3750% $20,396
    06 02.08 08 07 0.007558% 2 $0.07 3.5000% $21,171
    08.12 02.08 10 09.10 0.029525% 8 $0.26 3.2500% $21,677
    08.12 05.14 10 07 0.014708% 4 $0.13 3.2500% $21,756
    09.11 02.08 02.05 09.10 0.056638% 16 $0.49 3.0625% $22,600
    07.10 05.14 08 09.10 0.028241% 8 $0.24 3.0000% $22,662
    09.11 05.14 02.05 07 0.028215% 8 $0.24 3.0000% $22,683
    08.12 02.08 02.05 07 0.026548% 8 $0.23 2.8750% $24,107
    06 02.08 08 09.10 0.012837% 4 $0.11 2.7500% $24,928
    06 05.14 08 07 0.006395% 2 $0.06 3.0000% $25,020
    08.12 05.14 10 09.10 0.024982% 8 $0.22 2.7500% $25,618
    09.11 05.14 02.05 09.10 0.047924% 16 $0.41 2.5625% $26,709
    08.12 02.08 02.05 09.10 0.045092% 16 $0.39 2.4375% $28,386
    08.12 05.14 02.05 07 0.022464% 8 $0.20 2.5000% $28,491
    09.11 02.08 08 07 0.010917% 4 $0.10 2.5000% $29,313
    06 05.14 08 09.10 0.010862% 4 $0.10 2.5000% $29,461
    08.12 05.14 02.05 09.10 0.038155% 16 $0.33 2.0625% $33,547
    09.11 02.08 08 09.10 0.018542% 8 $0.16 2.0000% $34,516
    09.11 05.14 08 07 0.009237% 4 $0.08 2.0000% $34,643
    08.12 02.08 08 07 0.008691% 4 $0.08 2.0000% $36,819
    09.11 05.14 08 09.10 0.015689% 8 $0.14 1.7500% $40,792
    08.12 02.08 08 09.10 0.014762% 8 $0.13 1.6250% $43,353
    08.12 05.14 08 07 0.007354% 4 $0.07 1.7500% $43,513
    08.12 05.14 08 09.10 0.012491% 8 $0.11 1.3750% $51,236