Western Dash: Winterbottom Stakes Preview

WA Racing Expert Mark Van Triet previews the field for the Group One Winterbottom Stakes.

winterbottom stakes

Group 1 racing in the west continues this week with Perth’s premier sprint event, the Winterbottom Stakes.

We spoke to our WA form analyst Mark Van Triet and got his take on every runner.

Race 7, Ascot – Group 1 Crown Perth Winterbottom Stakes (1200m) - 4:50pm local time

This is not one of the stronger versions of this race.

In previous years you’ve had the likes of Buffering, Ortensia, Barakey, and you can go back to Takeover Target.

For a Group 1, this is down on quality in my opinion. A bit of that could be down to the extra run in the sprint program now with The Everest.

The speed should be okay with Malibu Style, Whispering Brook and Caipirinha, which they tried to ride with a sit last start.

They’re drawn out wide so I think their only option here is to go forward. There should be a lot of jostling early trying to get a spot. It’s a $1 million Group 1 race so I’d be surprised if they sat up.

It’s forecast to be 35 degrees in Perth on Saturday, and generally Ascot can be leader-ish when it’s that warm. Of the last six winners of this race, five have either led or sat second. The exception is Ortensia, who sat just behind the speed.

1. Rock Magic (Chris Gangemi / Jarrad Noske) Barrier 6, 58.5kg

Going really well and he hasn’t had a lot go right for him in the east. He was first home on the flat side of the track in the Darley. He hasn’t had any luck at all. From his gate he should be able to get set just behind the speed, and he’s more than capable of figuring in the finish.

2. Santa Ana Lane (Anthony Freedman / Dean Yendall) Barrier 11, 58.5kg

The only Group 1 winner in the race, which tells you a bit about the depth of it. He’s drawn outside and will have to go back, probably near last, which is a very hard thing to recover from over a short trip at Ascot.

3. Durendal (Chris Gangemi / Shaun McGruddy) Barrier 1, 58.5kg

Hasn’t won since January 2016. In saying that he is racing okay and will get a good run in transit, but he’s a place hope at best.

4. Dream Lifter (Paul Hunter / Mitchell Pateman) Barrier 3, 58.5kg

Will go forward, but outclassed here.

5. Malibu Style (Neville Parnham / Steven Parnham) Barrier 10, 58.5kg

The likely leader. Has been struggling for form this prep so I’d be surprised if he was able to figure in the finish here.

7. Profit Street (Peter & Matthew Giadresco / Brad Parnham) Barrier 2, 58.5kg

Noted backmarker. Came wide on the turn last start and recorded the fastest last 200, but again he’ll need luck to repeat that. Could possibly finish in the money with luck, but I couldn’t see him winning.

9. Viddora (Lloyd Kennewell / Joe Bowditch) Barrier 7, 56.5kg

She’s flying. She hasn’t had any luck in her two runs this prep, and they were both Group 1s stronger than this. She only needs clear air in the straight and if she’s close enough, she’ll be good enough to get over the top.

10. Whispering Brook (Simon Miller / Jason Brown) Barrier 8, 56.5kg

Will go forward and create a bit of speed, but she hasn’t won since her two-year-old year and I’d be surprised if she could turn that around here.

11. Dainty Tess (Daniel Morton / Chris Parnham) Barrier 5, 56.5kg

Local favourite due to her pattern of racing – she gets back and is capable of reeling off a really good late split. 1200m will probably test here, especially at this grade, but she’ll be one getting home late.

12. Fuhryk (David Hayes, Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig / Damien Oliver) Barrier 9, 56.5kg

Was held up a little bit last start at Flemington over the 1400m, but when she got out she didn’t do a lot. She’s certainly better suited back at the 1200m. She’s got a sticky gate and Ollie will have to chance his arm and see if he can slot her in the first half-dozen. If he can do that, she’s capable of finishing in the money.

13. Caipirinha (Simon Miller / Joseph Azzopardi) Barrier 12, 56.5kg

Has been out of form this campaign. As I said earlier, they signaled their intentions that they wanted to go back, but she just jumped too well to do that. She was trapped three-wide without cover but only just went down in a huge effort. A place hope for mine.

Verdict

I’m pretty keen on Viddora. She’s got the right formlines and she’s going to Perth off a great preparation with the two Group 1s, where she was unlucky in both. Those races were much stronger than this.

I’ve got Rock Magic next – with the right run – and State Solicitor likewise.

WA Winners

Mark Van Triet is our WA racing expert, members of WA Winners with profitable tips across West Australian metro and provincial meetings.

With 5% Profit on Turnover since launch in mid-August, you can click below to join now and start sharing in the profits.