- Field of 151 to compete for the crown
- Five winning chances ranging from $34 to $91
Ok, we’re all set for this week’s main golfing action – the PORSCHE EUROPEAN OPEN.
This sees the players move over the border from Switzerland to neighbouring Germany. Interesting betting heat as well with some well-known US players teeing it up along with some familiar European names.
And to answer a couple of emails as well, next week sees the return of the PGA Tour with “A Military Tribute at The Greenbrier” or the Greenbrier Classic, in old money.
But for now here’s a full preview of the action in Hamburg…
First played in 1978, this event has had something of a stop-start history and recently returned to the regular tour schedule in 2015. But as well as looking for a regular spot on the rota, the tournament has also been searching for a regular home. The K Club in Ireland, you might recall, was a regular host venue for 12 years but there have actually been 9 different locations used in 35 editions of the European Open. Such change hasn’t allowed the event to settle much, meaning the field tends to be no more than “ok” in terms of quality, but the recent move to Germany, since its re-introduction in 2015, should see the tournament grow in stature.
This week, following the last two years, we return to the Green Eagle Golf Course in Hamburg. This is a 7,582-yard par 72 layout (using the North Course) designed by Michael Blesch and first opened in 2008. The course also featured for the ECCO Tour Championship on the Challenge Tour in 2010, and it’s an impressive course with plenty of water and sand hazards scattered through a typical parkland setting.
72-Hole Record – 267, Thongchai Jaidee (2015)
18-Hole Record – n/a
Past Winners – Richard McEvoy (2018), Jordan Smith (2017), Alexander Levy (2016), Thongchai Jaidee (2015).
📏 The longest hole on tour
📅 The long-awaited winner
Go inside the #PEO2019
— The European Tour (@EuropeanTour) September 4, 2019
Not quite as good a line-up as last week, but still a few big names are in Germany this week. Xander Schauffele is the 6/1 market leader
The rain could arrive at some point (50% chance on Thursday and Saturday), but the players should cope with reasonable temperatures, in the low 70s. The wind will be a little gusty, up to 20mph on occasion, but this will ease over the weekend.
Adri Arnaus – $34 available
“We’ve backed the young Spaniard a couple of times already this season, and you know I’m a big fan of this undoubted talent. His game should be a great fit for this long course, and his current form is encouraging with a 6th place finish last week, coming a couple of weeks after a runner-up spot in the Czech Masters. A missed cut in between shows he’s not the finished article, but I’ve seen more than enough of him to rate Arnaus a future winner for sure. I think his price this week, for a non-winner, is fair and worth taking, but like all this week’s players, I’m not going to bet the farm on what is still a relatively new tournament.”
Alexander Levy – $34 available
“I’m happy to back the Frenchman again after he did us a favour in the recent Scandinavian Masters, and even despite his MC last week in the Alps (where he has never performed well). But the Frenchman’s recent form is good with a Top 20 in the Czech Masters coming the week before his podium finish in Gothenburg. This week’s market is headed by some decent talent, but it’s always hard to gauge the motivation of the Americans who come over to play in the late season. Levy has solid course form here in Hamburg – posting a 2nd and 13th place finish the last two years – and he won this event in 2016 at Bad Griesbach. So with some good memories, current form and a weakish field this week in Germany, Levy is well worth an interest.”
Lucas Herbert – $67 available
“Herbert returned to form last week with an 8th place finish at the European Masters on a course that you wouldn’t think would fit with his power game. He ranked 5th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and if it wasn’t for a stone-cold putter he could have easily challenged for the win. This week he arrives full of confidence at a venue that should suit his game perfectly. The Green Eagle course is a very long American style parkland and it perhaps explains why players such as Patrick Reed and Xander Schauffele have decided to play here, and last year it was DeChambeau who teed it up. Herbert made his debut here last year and finished 29th, but would have been a lot better had it not been for two 75’s. Herbert has had a slow season so far after a blistering 2018, but this week’s field is lacking depth apart from the front half dozen in the market and he looks value to enter the conversation at a reasonable price giving his efforts last week.
Paul Waring – $91 available
“Waring is trending nicely right now after 30th at the Czech Masters and then 20th when defending his title in Sweden – where he ranked as the 6th best player statistically. This week’s course is perfect for the big-hitting Waring who will relish the challenge. Waring has two Top 10’s from his last eight starts and seems to have been too easily dismissed this week despite the field lacking strength. Waring is well-rested after taking last week off, and should be a lot closer to the front end of the market in my opinion. Around 80/1 he’s the value bet of the week.
Victor Dubuisson – $91 available
“We complete this week’s staking plan with the unpredictable Frenchman who should thrive on the Green Eagle course this week. Last week in Switzerland, Dubuisson was in the Top 20 until a Sunday 73 saw him fall to 43rd. He was 7th in Driving Accuracy and 3rd in Greens-In-Regulation so his game is in great shape. Had he shot 2 or 3-under on Sunday he would have finished in the Top 10 last week, and we’d be looking at a price of around 40/1 or maybe 50’s (which still would be too big IMO) but we’re getting 80/1 which is far too big to pass up despite Dubuisson’s tendency to go missing on occasion. I can’t re-iterate enough the lack of depth down the pecking order this week and Dubuisson, like our other bets, looks good value to contend this week.”
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