- Dean’s full preview of the Magic Millions 2YO Classic
- Trial Spy members are on three key chances at big odds in futures markets
The Magic Millions 2YO Classic will always be a special race for Trial Spy members, as in 2018 I advised members to confidently back Sunlight in futures markets at $34, a month before she romped home by three lengths as the strong favourite. Now a four-year-old mare, she has gone on to win three G1 sprint races and over $5 million in prizemoney.
The 2020 edition could be the next to enter the folklore… I advised members to back the fancied Wisdom of Water at $101 in futures markets, as well as Stellar Pauline and Conceited at double figure odds, giving members three strong chances for a big collect in the $2m million race.
Magic Millions 2YO Classic: Key Facts
- In the last 20 years twelve fillies, five geldings and three colts have won
- 23 of the last 27 winners were last start winners
- Good barriers do help. In the last 20 years, fifteen horses have won from gates 1 to 8, and five have won from gates 9 to 16
- In the past eight years, seven of the winners have had SPs under $5. However, given the even nature of this race, it is possible that even the favourite won’t be under $5.
- Gai Waterhouse has won four of the last twenty editions, but it’s been split amongst many other trainers
- New South Wales and Queensland-based trainers have dominated the race, with Victorians trainers generally struggling to get a look in
- Five of the last seven winners have been backed up in seven days
Magic Millions 2YO Classic: Key Chances
Wisdom of Water (currently $16 with BetEasy)
Trial Spy members were advised to back this horse at $101 in fixed odds futures markets.
Won a Gold Coast 1000-metre October 28th trial by 14 lengths at +0.1 above par. Failed as an odds-on favourite first up. Ridden with a sit in a Doomben 840-metre December 17th trial when second beaten a nose in solid time. Won well for Trial Spy members at $12 last Saturday, and has plenty in his favour for this race.
Backs up in seven days which is a big positive, is a last start winner and should start from barrier six. The Queensland-based trainer Toby Edmonds won this race with Houtzen in 2017.
Certainly fits much of the profile of a Magic Millions Winner
Conceited (currently $9 with BetEasy)
Trial Spy members were advised to back this horse at $15 – $17 in fixed odds futures markets.
Won well at Flemington on debut down the straight when backed, and finished home strongly for second to Wisdom of Water carrying 58.5kg last week. Trainer James Cummings won this race last year and jockey Damien Lane won nearly all the major races last year. Is backing up in seven days which is a big plus. Has a wide gate but that likely suits his swooping style.
Stellar Pauline (currently $21 with BetEasy)
Trial Spy members were advised to back this horse at $12 in fixed odds futures markets.
Settled third, came out and finished solidly for second (beaten a nose) in a Kensington 852-metre September 23rd trial, second-quickest time of 11 two-year-old trials. Was an unlucky second on debut in the G3 Gimcrack Stakes behind current Magic Millions favourite Every Rose. Solid close second in Kembla Grange 800m December 11th trial, before a strong finishing second first-up behind Aim. Should start from barrier 11 which suits her swooping style. Looks set for this and very underrated by the market.
— Sky Racing (@SkyRacingAU) January 8, 2020
Magic Millions 2YO Classic: Key Dangers
Gotta Kiss (currently $13 with BetEasy)
Impressed winning first two trials in preparation. Won a Doomben 840-metre September 10th trial by 3.5 lengths in +4.5 LS +1.3 after settling off the pace. Won Eagle Farm 800-metre September 23rd trial by 0.7 lengths in -2.5 LS +1.1, the quickest of five two-year-old trials on the day. Saluted comfortably for Trial Spy members on debut, then a narrow second to the handy Rothfire before winning again for Trial Spy members last start at Eagle Farm. Looks a very strong chance here.
Every Rose (currently $11 with BetEasy)
Mark Newnham trained filly. Settled third and finished home nicely to win a Kensington 852-metre September 23rd trial by 1.7L in -3.4 LS -2.6. Led all the way to win the G3 Gimcrack Stakes on debut by 1.5 lengths for Trial Spy members. Won a Randwick 735-metre November 26th trial by five lengths. Solid second first-up at Wyong to Farnan, then second at Eagle Farm to King’s Legacy. Starts from barrier 8 and is set to peak here.
Nitrous (currently $26 with BetEasy)
Led all the way and did it fairly easily winning Kensington 847-metre September 23rd trial by 0.9L -4.9 LS -2.1. Failed on debut in the Breeders Stakes, and has come back and won at Canberra and Randwick. Appears to keep improving after good first trial, and is the knockout chance.
Magic Millions 2YO Classic: Other Chances
Aim, Farnan and King’s Legacy are the other winning chances to my eye on their race form, but these are the three current favourites and don’t represent value in what is an open and even race in my opinion. All have improved markedly in their races from their trials and can win, but the best trial performances win these major two-year-old races more often than not, and the best triallers are covered in the Key Chances and Key Dangers sections above.