With the AFL and NRL seasons over for another year, racing now takes centre stage for sports-loving Australians starting with Super Saturday at Randwick.
There are four Group 1’s and plenty of other great races at Royal Randwick tomorrow so let’s take a look at results at the track over the last five seasons for runners under $10.
Waller was the standout performer while the big Waterhouse and Snowden stables were just slightly worse than average. Followers of the O’Shea stable have struggled at Randwick:
POT% Trainer +1 C Waller -6 D Payne -12 G Waterhouse -13 P Snowden -33 J O’Shea (POT% = Profit on Turnover) Jockeys Nash Rawiller’s Randwick results are simply sensational: POT% Jockey +14 N Rawiller +1 J Cassidy -4 T Berry -5 G Schofield -10 C Brown -17 B Shinn -22 H Bowman -23 T Clark -27 K McEvoy Track condition There was very little variance across different track conditions: POT% Going -10 Good -11 Dead -8 Slow -12 Heavy Track experience Horses with experience at the track out-performed first-timers: POT% Randwick starts -13 0 -6 1+ Barriers Unlike the majority of Australian tracks, punters betting on Randwick races tend to underestimate the difficulty of being drawn wide: POT Barrier -13 1-4 -2 5-8 -23 9+ Last start settling position
Randwick is yet another track where horses with a tendency to get back in their races end up being poor betting propositions:
POT Last start settling position -5 1st to 6th -12 7th or worse A quick summary of Randwick:
- Champion trainer Chris Waller is under-estimated by the market, but the O’Shea stable struggles at the track
- Punters can follow Nash Rawiller with plenty of confidence
- Course experience is an advantage
- Be wary of runners drawn wide
- The ability to race forward of midfield is a positive
That was a fairly simplistic overview of the Randwick track and is not intended to be the foundation of your betting approach tomorrow, but rather as a starting point for further research. You’ll need a far more in-depth approach to form analysis if you’re serious about winning.