With the AFL and NRL seasons over for another year, racing now takes centre stage for sports-loving Australians starting with Super Saturday at Randwick.

There are four Group 1’s and plenty of other great races at Royal Randwick tomorrow so let’s take a look at results at the track over the last five seasons for runners under $10.

Trainers

Waller was the standout performer while the big Waterhouse and Snowden stables were just slightly worse than average. Followers of the O’Shea stable have struggled at Randwick:

POT%             Trainer +1                   C Waller -6 D                Payne -12                  G Waterhouse -13                  P Snowden -33                 J O’Shea (POT% = Profit on Turnover) Jockeys Nash Rawiller’s Randwick results are simply sensational: POT%            Jockey +14                N Rawiller +1                   J Cassidy -4                    T Berry -5                    G Schofield -10                  C Brown -17                  B Shinn -22                  H Bowman -23                  T Clark -27                  K McEvoy Track condition There was very little variance across different track conditions: POT%            Going -10                 Good -11                  Dead -8                    Slow -12                 Heavy Track experience Horses with experience at the track out-performed first-timers: POT%         Randwick starts -13                       0 -6                        1+ Barriers Unlike the majority of Australian tracks, punters betting on Randwick races tend to underestimate the difficulty of being drawn wide: POT            Barrier -13               1-4 -2                 5-8 -23               9+ Last start settling position

Randwick is yet another track where horses with a tendency to get back in their races end up being poor betting propositions:

POT                 Last start settling position -5                                1st to 6th -12                              7th or worse A quick summary of Randwick:

  • Champion trainer Chris Waller is under-estimated by the market, but the O’Shea stable struggles at the track
  • Punters can follow Nash Rawiller with plenty of confidence
  • Course experience is an advantage
  • Be wary of runners drawn wide
  • The ability to race forward of midfield is a positive

That was a fairly simplistic overview of the Randwick track and is not intended to be the foundation of your betting approach tomorrow, but rather as a starting point for further research. You’ll need a far more in-depth approach to form analysis if you’re serious about winning.

Good punting

David Duffield