Australian guineas

The Australian Guineas is a Group 1 race over 1600 metres for three-year-olds at Flemington Racecourse. Total prizemoney is $1 million.

Australian Guineas 2021: Trevor Lawson’s Preview

On face value, OLE KIRK was disappointing last week. He comes here on the quick back-up. He was never on the right part of the track and goes from the inside barrier to the outside here. Can improve.

TAGALOA was super in the lead-up CS Hayes over 1400m, in a fast-run race. That looks to be the key to him, and I think he’ll get that fast-run race here. He’s the horse to beat. .

AYSAR started short in the market behind Tagaloa in the CS Hayes, and was well held. He now meets him worse at the weights. I’m not sure if he’s really genuine.

CHERRY TORTONI ran home nicely first-up behind Tagaloa in the CS Hayes. But he’s drawn wide here and will get a long way back which will make it very hard.

DOM TO SHOOT had little luck last start, but worked home nicely. He can improve here, but I’m not sure he can make up enough on Tagaloa.

GRANDSLAM didn’t do much first-up when ridden back. He’s second-up here and has drawn a wide barrier. It’s a no from me.

POLAND put in a terrific effort up on the pace in a fast-run Autumn Stakes at Caulfield. He’s a good chance here if he’s come on from that run.

JET PROPULSION came through that same brutally-run race at Caulfield. He battled away okay and strips fitter here. He’s a rough chance.

CAMBOURNE found the hot tempo first-up too much in the CS Hayes. He can improve but would have to find a lot.

HERE TO SHOCK  won well at Geelong, then was disappointing last start in the CS Hayes, when he led. I doubt he has the class to figure here.

ZOU DANCER led and won easily against the fillies in The Vanity last start. The time was well slower than the CS Hayes however, so not sure she can measure up to the likes of Tagaloa.

Verdict As I said, Tagaloa is well and truly the horse to beat. If he runs to his last start figure, he’ll win. He’s a good price at the moment too – I reckon he’ll be backed and will come in on Saturday.

Punt like a pro with Trevor Lawson’s Melbourne Ratings.

As well as a full set of rated prices, speed maps and suggested bets, you can spend each and every raceday with a pro punter: the Melbourne Ratings Live Page gives you direct access to Trev himself to ask whatever you like.

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