Bletchingly Stakes preview

By guest analyst Todd Burmester

The Bletchingly Stakes on Saturday shapes as a rematch for a number of runners from the Monash Stakes a couple of weeks ago. The obvious omission is Warm Love who stepped out last week and was successful. In the Monash, Secret Flyer ended up a fairly comprehensive winner, but to my way of thinking needs the race made to order in terms of there being a lot of pace on in order to win. Gold Trail set the pace in the Monash, and he lines up again here, but whether he scoots along as fast remains to be seen. I would think there won’t be quite as quick a pace here as Gold Trail dropped out badly after going that quickly last time. To my way of thinking the obvious pick in this race is Uxurious. If you saw his run in the Monash, you just have to forget he went around and the 4.8length 6th out of 7 was not indicative of its effort. In the straight its fair to say it was smashed at a crucial stage when looking for a run on the fence. That cost it at least second placing in my opinion. Stanzout found the line very well in The Monash after being a clear last, but again was another suited by the fast pace. He’s always consistent, but I don’t know if he can win this. The all conquering Peter Moody stable has Mid Summer Music in this, and she’s the new girl on the scene. It’s fair to say she was fairly unlucky last start, and has extremely consistent form stepping into this race. Add in another Mare in the shape of Rue Maple who has now had a string of minor placings but did run a cracker in The Monash and this race is more open than the betting suggests with Mid Summer Music currently the $3 favourite. This is all without even mentioning Second Effort, who has strung together 4 on end but does step up in class here, and there is a sneaky one of I have not mentioned yet, which is Dusty Star who had a couple of quality wins last campaign at this track, albeit over a bit further distance. Given the amount of live chances in this race, my strategy would again be a dutch book set up, leaving out Mid Summer Music, simply due to the lack of value. I’ll tip Uxorious to beat Gold Trail (who hopefully settles better) and Dusty Star for third.