Group 1 Doncaster Mile preview, doncaster mile

The Doncaster Mile (also known as the Doncaster Handicap) is a 1600m handicap held at Randwick Racecourse in autumn. The Doncaster is traditionally one of the highest-profile races on the Australian calendar, and at times has been called “the fifth major” of Australian racing (after the Melbourne Cup, Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate and Golden Slipper). Total prizemoney is $3 million. While the race was traditionally held on Easter Monday, the Doncaster is now the feature event on the first day of The Championships, which is the highlight of the Sydney Autumn carnival.

Doncaster Mile 2022: Alfie’s preview

Track It’s Groundhog Day… Heavy. Again. It’s a Heavy 10 now, with more rain predicted in the leadup to the race. It might favour those that are forward of midfield and closer, but it’s hard to say this far out.

Speed The tempo should be above average with Ellsberg, Forbidden Love and Converge taking it up.

Runner-by-runner

Prices courtesy of TopSport at time of publication.

Forbidden Love [$3.90] gets Kah on, has a light weight, will settle forward and has the best figures in the race. And is proven in the wet. Hard to ignore.

I’m Thunderstruck [$5] has probably the in-form jockey at the moment in Bowman, and relishes the wet. He’s fourth-up now so ready to peak. He’s won in the wet as a three-year-old.

Converge [$9.50] won the Randwick Guineas and was then flogged by Anamoe in the Rosehill Guineas. He’s back to 1600m now and is not without a chance.

Ellsberg [$15] is one who can handle the wet, but he’s yet to perform at Group 1 level.

Mr Brightside [$16] gets a tough draw, but at this time of the day it may be good to get wide. The heavy surface is a query.

Private Eye [$17] could sneak in if others are slightly off.

Bankers Choice [$17] is a Kiwi who will handle the wet. He improved last start and gets a light weight, but will give them a start.

Just Folk [$19] started $151 last the last Group 1 raced in, the CF Orr Stakes. Then next start he won the Ajax at Group 2 level. He’ll need to improve again to mix it at Group 1 level.

Lighthouse [$21] was too good in the Coolmore and Maher and Eustace are the right camp to get her ready again. She may get stuck wide, but that may be okay if she doesn’t do too much work.

Kissonallforcheeks [$26] may have some hope if it was dry, but I can’t have her in the wet.

The Doncaster is a big handicap and there’s always a big field, which can give the race quite a long tail. I think the rest are really just making up the numbers here: King Magnus [$101], Our Playboy [$71], Cascadian [$26], Kiku [$61], Numerian [$41], Hilal [$67], Brutality [$31], Laws Of Indices [$21], Inspirational Girl [$26], Hungry Heart [$61], Icebath [$21], Sky Lab [$91] and Dalasan [$41].

Verdict

I really like the look of Forbidden Love, though I want a better price about her… I think around the $5 mark is a fair price. I just hope this isn’t one run too many for her.

The best at a price for me is Lighthouse… she’s in the right camp. The very wet conditions are a query, but at a price it’s worth a play for mine. Good luck!

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