Doomben racecourse was established in 1933 before it was temporarily shut during World War II. Interestingly it was actually used by allied troops for a few years during that period.
By 1946 the war had ended and the course was reopened. Since that time it has gone onto become a favourite for locals and punters all around Australia. Given the size of the track and the shape of the turn, it is suggested that the outside runners are at a distinct disadvantage.
Doomben is home to the Group 1 weight-for-age Doomben 10,000, which is probably the most well-known race at the track.
The Stats You Need To Know
From the jockeys, Jeff Lloyd is winning at a very impressive 21% strike rate in the last 12 months, while Michael Murphy is sitting at a very tidy 19.75%.
For the trainers, Toby Edmonds is travelling very nicely at nearly 19% over the last 12 months. Tony Gollan is sitting at 15% over that same period to come in next best.
Finding An Edge
Champion Bets newest analyst, ‘The Professor’, has a PhD and has been doing the form in QLD for more than a decade. We thought we’d get his take on Doomben and how punters should go about approaching betting at the venue.
Are there any nuances to Doomben that you notice in your analysis?
To be honest, I don’t think there is, it’s really a ‘what it says on the can’ track. You really do know what you’re going to get most of the time so it becomes more a case of doing your work, getting your maps right to see who is going to be most advantaged.
What sort of runner (pace wise) is most suited and why?
It’s definitely a track where leaders and on pace runners are suited. In general, I don’t think it has been as leader biased as some like to suggest – I gave it a rap in my write up of the South East QLD track recently but ever since I’ve said that it has been a leaders track so I may have put the mock on it. Obviously the straight is shorter than a lot of tracks so that helps the on pace runners.
I think it has more to do with the better ground being on the fence at the moment and I think conditions have a part to play. Brisbane has not had a lot of rain the last 6 months so the tracks are dry and firm which also helps the leaders. The bias is definitely dependent on rail movement so you have to pay attention to where the rail is.
It is suggested that the outside runners are significantly disadvantaged at Doomben. Do you see that in your analysis and do the betting markets generally agree?
Over the shorter trips the inside draws are a distinct advantage. It’s a fairly obvious angle so they do tend to be well found. It’s something where its a tick for those runners but its not something that’s necessarily going to increase the value for you.
Are there any jockeys or trainers that you really like at Doomben and why?
At the moment Ryan Maloney at any track is a big positive for me. Jeff Lloyd is another one that is easy to find but he is still undervalued by the market for mine. Of the younger jockeys, Michael Murphy and Jag Guthman-Chester are two that I’m happy to be on at Doomben. In terms of trainers, David Van Dyke is flying at the moment and I’m always happy to be on his runners.
Ben Currie is another one – he obviously is dominant at Toowoomba but when he brings them to town they generally run well.
QLD seems to have some big races during the winter but are any races/events that are best for betting?
Obviously the Stradbroke is the biggest race during the carnival and it will be great to see it get back to Eagle Farm – hopefully next year. I have a very soft spot for the Doomben 10,000. In terms of betting I actually find carnival time more difficult because there are so many interstate horses and I’m not as familiar with their form going in. If you gave me the choice I’d take a regular out of carnival Saturday meeting every day of the week.
What tips would you give for your average punter betting at Doomben?
Don’t be put off by the complaints about leader bias. Bias is just an angle for smart punters to exploit. Do your maps and focus on leaders in races with suitable tempo – especially if the rail is out.
Since launching less than a month ago, The Professor has found 7 winners for $700 profit at 26% Profit on Turnover.
That’s an impressive start, but it’s only the beginning.