Empire Rose Stakes
Empire Rose Stakes 2021: Pro punter preview

Pro punter Trevor Lawson gives us his thoughts on the 2021 Empire Rose Stakes.

This is a really good race. A good traditional Group 1 that they all come for – all the high-class mares. There’s no filly in the race this year which is a bit different – they usually get in with about 51kgs and run really well, as they have done over the past few years.

Empire Rose Stakes: The Speed

Pride Of Jenni leads up the inside from Tofane, with Harmony Rose and Mirra Vision coming across. Still A Star, Nimalee and Sirileo Miss are handy, with the latter wide. The rest are just behind them.

Empire Rose Stakes: Key Runners

COLETTE got back to her better form last start on a wet track in the Group 2 Tristarc. This trip suits. Her chances are enhanced if the track is wet.

MYSTIC JOURNEY has put in two good runs this prep. She’s ready now to step to 1600 metres. She won at this distance range third-up last prep.

TOFANE is a quality mare who comes through the fast-run Toorak where she just missed. She’s drawn ideally here and is the horse to beat on my figures.

SIERRA SUE pulled up with an issue last start. She had a peak rating two runs back but has been up forever. She can’t keep going to the well, surely?

STILL A STAR has put in two good runs this prep, winning the Group 2 Rose Of Kingston last start, and gets a good run on the map here.

NIMALEE has a good record at this distance range. She struggled slightly last start in the Tristarc on a wetter track. She can bounce back here on a dry deck.

AMARELINHA has had two runs back and has underperformed in both. But she’s third-up now and should be ready to run to her best.

SIRILEO MISS is undefeated this prep. She rated down slightly when winning over this trip last start in the Ladies Day Vase at Caulfield. She has a wide barrier here… I give her a rough chance.

FLYING MASCOT had a terrific win in the Tesio last week on the quick backup… I’m just not sure she has the class of some others here, there’s a lot of quality.

Empire Rose Stakes: Final thoughts

Plenty of quality here but Tofane ticks all the boxes for me and I have her about a $3.50 favourite. I’ll make adjustments on raceday for any particular patterns. From there I’ve got Mystic Journey at about $8, and the rest of the field at $15, led by Colette.

Punt like a pro with Trevor Lawson’s Melbourne Ratings.

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