Pro-Punter’s Preview: Group 1 Australian Guineas

Trevor Lawson previews Saturday's feature from Flemington

Group 1 Australian Guineas preview

Our Melbourne professional punter, Trevor Lawson, give us his in-depth-look at what looks like a cracking edition of the Group 1 Australian Guineas.

Flemington Race 8

Group 1 Australian Guineas (1600m)

Prize Money: $1,000,000

Speed Map: 

#1 Extra Brut (Maher & Eustace / Michael Walker)
Barrier 9

Ran okay first-up when held-up late is straight, so margin was unfair. Have rated just off best second-up.

#2 Long Leaf (Lindsay Park / Jamie Kah)
Barrier 7

Have rated to best. Long odds.

#3 Stars Of Carrum (Robbie Laing / Ben Melham)
Barrier 13

Not much luck last start. Will be better once it gets further.

#4 Ringerdingding (Chris Waller / John Allen)
Barrier 14

Ran quick sectionals last week, but still third-last. Will be running on here but will be giving horses of similar ability a long start.

#5 Ranier (James Cummings / Craig Newitt)
Barrier 15

Won the Carbine Club in spring at this track and distacne. Two runs back have been only okay. One of the outsiders.

#6 Chapada (Michael Moroney / Damien Oliver)
Barrier 16

Second-up here. Made good ground first-up but will have to go back again here from the barrier, which could be too big an ask.

#7 The Inevitable (Scott Brunton / Sigrid Carr)
Barrier 3

Ran well last week in the CS Hayes. Different class here though.

#8 Hawkshot (Lindsay Park / Mark Zahra)
Barrier 17

Improved rating immensely when finding the front last start. Always had ability. Drawn wide but maps to cross, very hard to beat if holds rating.

#9 Performer (Chris Waller / Stephen Baster)
Barrier 11

Poor last start, lacks class.

#10 Scottish Rogue (Tony McEvoy / Luke Currie)
Barrier 6

Outclassed.

#11 Dealmaker (Chris Waller / Michael Dee)
Barrier 8

Made some ground behind Hawkshot at Caulfield. Can improve off that run here but has a lot of ground to make up on Hawkshot.

#12 O’Tauto (Greg Eurell / Dwayne Dunn)
Barrier 4

Outclassed.

#13 Adana (Chris Waller / Luke Nolen)
Barrier 10

Outclassed.

#14 Amphitrite (Lindsay Park / Craig Williams)
Barrier 5

Terrific mare with winning ways. Soft win first-up but can improve here second-up. Best two figures in previous prep were this distance, should be ready to peak.

#15 Mystic Journey (Adam Trinder / Anthony Darmanin)
Barrier 1

Terrific win in Spring over this trip. Huge wins in Tassie this prep, beating older horses both times. Looks ready to run to best here.

#17 Declarationofheart (Anthony Freedman / Damian Lane)
Barrier 12

Does a bit wrong. Gets blinkers on first-time but would need big improvement to be competitive.

Verdict

I’ve got Mystic Journey on top from Amphtrite and Hawkshot. I think Mystic Journey and Hawkshot represent value, so it looks like a good betting race at this stage.

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