Our resident NSW Professional punter, Mark Rhoden, gives us his in-depth-look at this year’s Group 1 Surround Stakes for the three-year-old fillies.
The day’s feature, the Chipping Norton, is a sit and watch affair… enjoy the Winx show! So let’s get Mark’s thoughts on the Surround…
Randwick Race 7
Group 1 Surround Stakes (1400m)
Prize Money: $500,000
Speed Map: Sister Sledge and Mizzy to go forward from wide gates. Fundamentalist, Madam Rouge and Nakeeta Jane are drawn for good runs
#1 El Dorado Dreaming (Kris Lees / Brenton Avdulla)
Solid run first up, will be fitter.
#2 Seabrook (Mick Price / Brett Prebble)
Nice trial. Needs to produce her very best to win first up here.
#3 Oohood (Tony McEvoy / Tim Clark)
Got a long way back first-up but was only fair to the line, would prefer to have another look at her.
#4 Fiesta (Chris Waller / Hugh Bowman)
Brilliant first up winner at 1100m, up quickly to 1400m. She’ll need a lot of luck from her wide gate.
#5 Fundamentalist (Lindsay Park / Sam Clipperton)
Did some work in the run first-up. Maps well here but might be at her very best at 1600m.
#6 Greysful Glamour (Mark Newnham / Corey Brown)
Covered ground first-up, will be fitter but likely to need further.
#7 Nakeeta Jane (Mark Newnham / Joshua Parr)
Very good filly who returned with an excellent first-up win. Should be even better at 1400m.
#8 Miss Fabulass (Kris Lees / Kerrin McEvoy)
Flew when she got to 1400m last preparation but comes off an inconclusive first up run and will need luck from her gate.
#9 Melt (Chris Waller / Glyn Schofield)
Had every chance first-up but should be fitter now. Gate no help.
#10 Madam Rouge (Chris Waller / Blake Shinn)
Has come back very well and is drawn for a good run here.
#12 Pohutukawa (James Cummings / James McDonald)
Not much room and hampered by a hesitant ride first-up. Great jockey change here and 1400m is ideal now.
#13 Mizzy (Anthony Cummings / Jason Collett)
Overcame trouble to win her maiden last time. Obviously harder here but will go forward and has some place chance.
#14 Zalatte (Chris Waller / Tommy Berry)
Unbeaten filly who has been freshened. Stepping up in grade but doesn’t look out of place.
#15 Sister Sledge (Waterhouse & Bott / TBC)
Likely leader who is facing a big class rise. Does have upside.
#16 Symi (Team Hawkes / TBC)
If Fiesta had drawn better, I’d have her on top despite the quick jump to 1400m – her first up win was simply outstanding. However, it’s hard to see the jockey pushing his way in from the wide gate here and that’s going to make her task difficult.
From the Light Fingers Stakes, Nakeeta Jane and Pohutukawa are the two I’d want to be with – both very good fillies with acceleration and drawn to get decent runs. Madam Rouge will be competitive again, Miss Fabulass has the ability but has drawn very badly and Zalatte looks the improver in the race.
I’ve ended up very close to the early market so it’s not really a betting proposition at this stage – I’d want around $7 to get involved with any of Fiesta, Nakeeta Jane or Pohutukawa.
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