Group 1 TJ Smith Stakes preview

One of Australia’s most successful analysts, Dean Evans, previews the Group 1 TJ Smith Stakes; part of a bumper Saturday of racing at Randwick.

Dean has advised members to back the winner of the TJ Smith Stakes 3 years in a row: Chautauqua two years in a row at $8 & $4, followed by Trapeze Artist at $13 last year.

So who better placed to steer us into this year’s TJ Smith Stakes winner?

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It’s an absolutely outstanding edition of the Group 1 TJ Smith Stakes this year, comprising of the best field we’ve seen in any sprint race this season.

The one to beat

#3 Santa Ana Lane (Anthony Freedman / Mark Zahra)

Barrier 8, 58.5kg

Was a huge run first-up in the Newmarket when charging home from well back for fifth, beaten only 1.5 lengths. Was first-up there carrying a big weight, a near impossible task in that race historically. Is far better suited here at WFA conditions and is fully fit with that run under his belt.

Won a G2 at Randwick over 1200m last prep before the Everest, beating Shoals, In Her Time, Trapeze Artist & Redzel. Had no luck in the Everest when buffeted early and didn’t handle the bog track.

Won the VRC Sprint for us in November at double figure odds.

Doesn’t want it too wet, but if they’re swooping, which is likely, then look out. He’s the one to beat.

Key dangers

#11 Sunlight (Tony McEvoy / Luke Currie)

Barrier 11, 54.5kg

A Trial Spy pin-up horse. Having identified her before her first start, we’ve backed her 9 times for 5 wins, including at $21 in futures for the Magic Millions and at $13 for the Newmarket last start. Has taken all before her in her short career, is flying and looks a big chance again.

#1 Redzel (Peter & Paul Snowden / Kerrin McEvoy)

Barrier 5, 58.5kg

Another Trial Spy horse identified before his first start, who has turned into one of Australia’s best sprinters. Has won two Everests and ran second in this race last year, so loves the Randwick 1200m in any conditions.

Was poor last start but had excuses and won The Everest off a ‘flop’ run last prep. Has been set for this. Will lead or sit outside the leader dictating terms and prove hard to run down.

#7 Osborne Bulls (James Cummings / Hugh Bowman)

Barrier 4, 58.5kg

Ran third in the Everest last prep, albeit with a smart ride out in the best going. Was a big run for second in the Newmarket last start and that form always goes well here. Big danger.

Other notables

#2 Trapeze Artist (Gerald Ryan / Blake Shinn)

Barrier 7, 58.5kg

Star sprinter who prefers it dry, yet still managed to run second in the Everest last prep on a bog-heavy track. Won this race and the Canterbury Stakes last year. Prefers it dry, but cannot be discounted.

#9 Shoals (Anthony Freedman / Tim Clark)

Barrier 2, 58.5kg

Failed in the Everest on the big heavy track, but all of her other runs in top grade at Randwick have been excellent. High class filly, can’t discount here.

#4 Pierata (Greg Hickman / Tommy Berry)

Barrier 6, 56.5kg

The potential heavy track certainly brings him into calculations. Bolted in over 1200m here on a heavy track in the Everest consolation last prep, and nearly won the Galaxy last start over an unsuitable 1100m.

Dean Evans is one of Australia’s most successful analysts, boasting over $130,000 profit in the last 6 years.

Dean bets all over the country so there is something for every punter, and there is always plenty of action.

Get on board today.

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