Cameron O’Brien’s Group 3 CS Hayes Stakes Preview

A pro-punter previews the G3 race from Flemington

Group 3 CS Hayes Stakes preview racing tips

Group 3 CS Hayes Stakes

The preview this week is on the 3yo G3 CS Hayes Stakes, 1400m Flemington. It’s a bit of a query race with a number of horses either first up for their Autumn prep or early in their prep, and as such it’s not a race I will be getting too involved in, but I do have one I want to back.

First of all the last few years winners:

And the map, I think we can expect OK tempo:

My market on the race:

And I want to be on ADANA, and at $6 currently he’s backable. Really nice closing run first up in Sydney, going 107, drawn to get the right run and I think he’ll like Flemington. The one to beat for mine.

My comments on each horse:

Runner-by-Runner:

#1 RINGERDINGDING Nice horse. Flew at Flemington and Sandown Hillside (big tracks) last prep at the end of the prep with a top of 108, OK first up behind Hawkshot going 102 when not run to suit. I fully expect him to go to or surpass his 108 this prep, but from this gate he is going to have to go back to last!

#2 EXTRA BRUT 
Derby winner, doubt he’ll be right for this but hard to know. 111 in the Derby, he’s a get back run on horse who has other races in mind, am assuming they are looking for a good closing run here.

#3 STARS OF CARRUM
Robbie Laing’s derby runner up who ran out of his skin that day going 109 behind Extra Brut. This will be too short.

#4 RANIER
Interesting horse! His top is hard to project, but he was just OK first up behind Tin Hat in a quick run race that should have suited him. 106’s held last prep and I think he has the ability for 111/112 but need to see more yet, tough to mark.

#5 PERFORMER
May push up closer than I have mapped him, OK LST when too far back and made up good ground going 103. He has a potential 110 in him, but so far hasn’t delivered on expectations. Has the ability. I think Flemington will suit, too.

#6 VASSILATOR
Just OK first up, good jockey change to Kah, but will be WB in the run. Best so far just 104 which is short of what’s needed, given the first up run I can’t realistically push to a new peak, though Kah helps!

#7 MICKEY BLUE EYES
Has ability, went 100-105 first two runs last prep before his form tapered, Hayes had him on a Derby prep but maybe that’s not his go. Spelled I expect him to come back well like he did last time, but I can’t push him to a new peak without knowing, query horse.

#8 THE INEVITABLE
Tas guineas winner LST, was OK there but had to work to get it, smart trainer though and he’s not bringing the horse over for a holiday.

#9 CHAPADA
Promising stayer resuming. Went 107 two back at his top then effectively did that in the Derby too, no luck there, horse on the up for sure but drawn terribly.

#10 SCOTTISH ROGUE
Just OK resuming, he only has a top of 103 so far and it’s hard to see where the new peak is going to come from, but the camp is astute obviously. Drawn wide and may race that way.

#11 OTAUTO
Lacks acceleration, came from WB same track and trip LST and got there but took a while, went 102, a month off since, will have natural improvement.

#12 THORONDOR
105 horse at top so far and happy to give that third up with the good map.

#13 ADANA
Went 107 first up 1400m Rosehill, when he closed the race out nicely, strong on line. The only ? For me is he is 2nd up, but otherwise everything is right here. I think he will get around Flemington just fine, he has the best rider in the country on board and he maps well, ticks a lot of boxes.

#14 AGE OF CHIVALRY
Good winning last two at Sandown Lakeside leading throughout, however that track favours leaders and so it may be a little flattering. He can map well again and on pacers are always favoured at this trip but it’s also first look 1400m, too. And may be more pressure.

#15 STAROUZ
Camp flying this year, this horse was unlucky LST when he missed a run at a vital time but finished strongly. He needs a lot, only did 96 there but the camp seems to have some magic ability this year to get horses to do new peaks… so I can’t rule it out!

#16 EXPANSION
Has promise, got to 100 two back then 98 LST, maps OK, haven’t seen top yet, but does need a bit to win.

#17 BUCEPHALUS
Scratched

#18 MORE SUNDAYS
Can win. Fair run resuming but showed a bit of promise in his firat prep, Hayes is astute and he is here for a reason. This is a potential 108 horse this prep which is more than enough to win.

Good luck!

Cameron O’Brien is an experienced pro-punter who knows how to find winners at big prices.

Boom Time ($51) and Rekindling ($21) in last year’s Caulfield and Melbourne Cups, Best Solution ($13) in this year’s Caulfield Cup and Voodoo Lad ($14) in the Winterbottom Stakes, just to name a few.

With over $3,500 profit since September 9th, now is the time to follow Cam in: