2016 Hong Kong International Raceday Preview

Four international Group 1 races highlight Hong Kong’s big race meeting and we have the full set from someone who has worked with a couple of big betting syndicates.

He has provided his preview for all 10 races below:

SUNDAY , DECEMBER 11 , 2016 SHA TIN A COURSE

RACE 1 1200M

Some handy debutants here but hard to see JING JING WIN being beaten. He has been ultra impressive at both wins and although he hasn’t beaten much it has been the manner of his wins which has caught the attention. Again impressed winning a trial from HOUSE OF FUN last week on the dirt and should get all the favours from gate two. HOUSE OF FUN has put together two wins and a third this season and should handle the promotion – he went nearly as well as JING JING WIN in the trial. Four debutants here and KEEN VENTURE has been the one to capture the most interest. He raced as TULSA in Australia and although he only won one race he spent most of his time racing in Group company and wasn’t disgraced in a few runs at all. Both trials here have been good and although he might be better suited at 1400-1600m do think he will run a race fresh. WATER DIVINER was good winning down the straight and has done well since but draws the outside gate and big chance of being caught wide . Both BURST AWAY ( same name in Oz where he had a good record in SA 7/2-2-2) and FIRST FONTEIN ( SOLAR IMPULSE – Patrick Payne 3/1.1.1) have trialled and worked well but might need the outing ??? Small each way KEEN VENTURE.

(4) $1-80 JING JING WIN

(12) $6 HOUSE OF FUN

(1) $12 KEEN VENTURE

(8) $12 VICTORY MACHINE

Place claims to (2) WATER DIVINER, (7) FIRST FONTEIN and (11) OUR HERO.

RACE 2 1800M

Competitive race but a little keen on ISHVARA who drops into this grade for the first time since winning at HV in March 2015 – he was good two back when third to ANTICIPATION and EASTERN EXPRESS and they are going around in the Vase !!!! Honest galloper and think it’s a good move to take advantage of Dylan Mo’s allowance – just hope the day doesn’t get to him. GENERAL SHERMAN ran on well last time and his previous run can be forgotten – would have preferred him at 2000m but he is at his top now and should get home hard. WILLIE WAY steps up in grade but racing well and is very fit – think he is up to the promotion. EASY HEDGE had no luck last start and ready to improve after four runs this season. DESMIOS has improved in his work and last run was good. Backing ISHVARA.
(1) $6 ISHVARA

(4) $5-50 GENERAL SHERMAN

(12) $6 WILLIE WAY

(13) $8 EASY HEDGE

Place claims to (11) ALLCASH ,(6) DESMIOS and (7) LOTUS STRIKES BACK.

RACE 3 1400M

It was an enormous run from BEAT THE CLOCK to run second to PEOPLES KNIGHT last start but unfortunately he draws badly again. He has come on big time from the run but is going to need early luck to find cover. WINNERS WAY draws the inside gate but has got back both runs so no great advantage to him. Have been really impressed by his work since his last run and does look the main danger to BEAT THE CLOCK. BOOMING DELIGHT (OUT AND ABOUT – William Haggas ) had good form in GB and has caught the eye in both local trials – awkwardly drawn but expect him to run a race. HERO LOOK was good on debut last season but hasn’t gone on with it since then – class drop will help and should be included in exotics. Like BEAT THE CLOCK but not sure he is going to be any value ???
(11) $2-60 BEAT THE CLOCK

(3) $5 WINNERS WAY

(5) $7 BOOMING DELIGHT

(1) $12 HERO LOOK

Place claims to (4) SUPER MAN, (13) CAREFREE LET GO and (14) SUPER TALENT.

RACE 4 2400M

Can’t go past HIGHLAND REEL , who won this race last year and has run second in the Arc DE Triomphe before winning the Breeders Cup Turf 2400m last month – has worked really well and looks at his top. SILVERWAVE has won a G1 and a G2 this trip in France this year before failing in The Arc DE Triomphe but he has only had 14 starts and has worked in good style in HK – has claims. SATONO CROWN will attract support with Moreira to ride but his form has been questionable ??? Was well beaten behind Werther here in QEII Cup here in April and failed two runs in Japan since – thought he worked well with Maurice on the grass on Thursday. ONE FOOT IN HEAVEN has won four times this trip but has been under an injury cloud in HK – has looked lethargic in a couple of easy pieces of work and would want to see a positive paddock report before I could include him in exotics. NUOVO RECORD is unbeaten at this trip including the Japanese Oaks in 2014 – has worked well here and has to be respected.
(1) $2 HIGHLAND REEL

(13) $6 NUOVO RECORD

(2) $12 SILVERWAVE

(3) $16 BIG ORANGE

Place claims to (4) SATONO CROWN , (7) ONE FOOT IN HEAVEN and (11) EASTERN EXPRESS.

RACE 5 1200M

Plenty of chances here and not a lot between any of the HK horses. LUCKY BUBBLES has emerged as most probably the leading sprinter in HK and he is drawn to get a good run off the pace – he was good behind CHAUTAQUA in May and both runs this season have been excellent. AEROVELOCITY won this race in 2014 but has had his share of problems since . Did think though that he had improved with two runs under his belt this season and he has the early pace to take advantage of the draw. BIG ARTHUR has a great record in Japan and has looked good in his work since arriving – has to be respected but does have the visitors draw . REBEL DANE hasn’t been asked to run any time but he does look a happy horse – he might go around at silly odds and worth a small ticket if he does. No bet – too many hopes.

(2) $3-30 LUCKY BUBBLES

(1) $7 AEROVELOCITY

(5) $7 AMAZING KIDS

(6) $7 BIG ARTHUR

Place claims to (7) REBEL DANE, (3) PENIAPHOBIA and (4) NOTLISTENIN’TOME.

RACE 6 1400M

RAPPER DRAGON looked highly promising at the end of last season but he has had lameness issues this season and this will be his first run in seven months – haven’t been impressed with his trials and prefer to watch him this time. DUNDONNELL has a good record this trip and fitter for racing this season – going to find this a lot easier than those runs. BLIZZARD gets ear plugs for the first time and looks very hard to beat – he meets RACING SUPERNOVA and MR BOGART on better terms for running third to them last start and has worked well. RACING SUPERNOVA is up in grade but keeps improving with every run and is going to be hard to beat again. Likewise MR BOGART is still open to further improvement and has worked well since his last outing. Backing BLIZZARD.
(6) $4-50 BLIZZARD

(2) $8 DUNDONNELL

(9) $4-50 RACING SUPERNOVA

(7) $5 MR BOGART

Place claims to (10) KEY WITNESS and (11) SIMPLY INVINCIBLE.

RACE 7 1600M

ABLE FRIEND holds the key to this race as he is only having his second start in 12 months since running third in this race last year. He has never finished out of a place this trip and has won eight from 11 !!! His first up run was excellent but I was prepared to risk him after such a long layoff and after he drew the outside gate. However his work on Thursday on the grass was so good that have changed my mind. NEOREALISM and LOGOTYPE both bring top class Japanese G1 form with them and they have to be respected – both look to have settled in well and should be competitive. CONTENTMENT has been a bit disappointing this season but he has a good record this trip and no surprise if he improved. BEAUTY ONLY is another with a good record over the mile and his last start win showed he is spot on for this. HELENE PARAGON had no luck in that race and should have finished a lot closer. PACKING PINS hasn’t had a lot of luck this season and he can improve especially after drawing gate one. Backing ABLE FRIEND small bet e/w PACKING PINS
(1) $4-50 ABLE FRIEND

(7) $6 NEOREALISM

(3) $10 LOGOTYPE

(8) $20 PACKING PINS

Place claims to (2) CONTENTMENT, (6) HELENE PARAGON and (13) SUN JEWELLERY.

RACE 8 2000M

MAURICE is unbeaten in two starts in HK and his work on Thursday indicated he is spot on to maintain his record . He is a last start winner in Japan over this trip and does look the one they have to beat. A SHIN HIKARI ran away with this race last year but his last two runs have been poor and haven’t been taken with his work since he arrived in HK – prefer to risk him. QUEENS RING has won six from 13 and looks an improver – she is not big and has drawn wide but should be kept safe. DESIGNS ON ROME was good two back then disappointed last start – has won five races this trip though and seems to find on the big day. LOVELY DAY has been a bit below par this year but he is a top class galloper on his day and work has been good. BLAZING SPEED is honest and always capable over this trip. SECRET WEAPON was good last time but this is different proposition and think he might struggle against the Japanese horses. Small win/place QUEENS RING save on MAURICE

(2) $2-20 MAURICE

(12) $8 QUEENS RING

(6) $8 LOVELY DAY

(3) $8 DESIGNS ON ROME

Place claims to (8) SECRET WEAPON, (1) A SHIN HIKARI and (5) STAPHONOS.

RACE 9 1200M

MR STUNNING was a good thing beaten first up in what was most probably Moreiras worst ride of the year – he draws awkwardly here but looks progressive and should be winning. LINE SEEKER was able to win that race but up in ratings now and may have to settle for minor prizemoney – still he has won four races this trip and has done well since his last start. LET US WIN raced as HATTORI HANZO in Australia and did win a G2 race in Sydney. His trials have only been fair at best but he has worked well and should be getting home hard in a race short of his best trip. NEW ASIA SUNRISE is only small but he is all heart and has a great record this trip.
(9) $2 MR STUNNING

(1) $8 LINE SEEKER

(8) $10 MALMSTEEN

(2) $10 NEW ASIA SUNRISE

Place claims to (14) SUPER LEADER, (10) MYTHICAL EMPEROR and (6) MERION.

RACE 10 1600M

PAKISTAN STAR is going to be hard to beat but his run style means that he has to give big starts to handy horses and cant back him at the short odds on offer – he has done well since his last run. WESTERN EXPRESS was good winning on debut and looks suited by the step up to this trip – he has won a trial since and has improved. EAGLE WAY makes his debut here after building up a good record in Australia but his trial was only fair. APOLLOS CHOICE is getting close to a win and has to be included in all considerations.
(5) $2-20 PAKISTAN STAR

(13) $5-50 WESTERN EXPRESS

(8) $8 APOLLOS CHOICE

(1) $15 SICHUAN DAR

Place claims to (3) LUCKY GIRL, (7) CHEEKY TOO and (9) DUKEDOM.