Randwick Race 8, 4.25pm
Group 2 TAB Light Fingers Stakes (1200m)
The lay of the land
Some cracking fields tomorrow at Randwick, with plenty of good horses resuming giving the races plenty of depth.
It’s usually very tricky lining up the better class horses resuming that lack fitness, up against the the lesser horses that are up and running. Given the expected hot conditions, along with the sting being out of the ground from plenty of rain early in the week, I’ll be looking to favour runners with race fitness through the day.
We’ll take an early look at the Light Fingers for the 3YO fillies, which features plenty of angles for punters to take
The speed story
The pace should be okay with Honesty Prevails having good natural speed and Global Glamour being positive from the wide draw. Lubiton has enough speed to be there with French Fern, Gridelin, Fabvier and Long Time Ago all having some tactical speed, but likely looking for a trail here.
In the mix…
Global Glamour (Waterhouse & Bott / Parr) is the pre-post favourite at about $3.50. This is largely based off its ‘Group 1’ form last prep. I think that form was a little flattering, and the runs this time in have been just OK in Queensland. The map here says it’s likely to be working early to get across, has had 28 days off between runs, and is a horse better suited stepping up in distance rather than dropping back here to the 1200m. Seems very much under the odds to me, and provides punters with an angle to get into the race by betting around it
After that, things get a bit tricky. Six runners interest me most, three resumers and three that are up and running.
Spright (Frazer / Brown) is very talented. Eases in her races and possesses a real turn of foot. Kept improving last prep and has had two recent trials for this. The map will suit if they are able to make ground out wide.
Honesty Prevails (Worthington / Collett) went very well at her first race start and has disappointed since. However, recent trials have been very good and included a solid hit out over 1000m. Should be quick enough to lead and give a sight, with the last 100m being the query.
Foxplay (Waller / Bowman) is better over longer, but has gone very well first-up in previous preps. Recent trials have been fine without blinkers on, and maps to get a soft run off the speed here. Fitness first-up on a testing day looks the query here.
Samantha (Ryan / Innes Jr) has really impressed me this prep. Trialled well before resuming in a midweek maiden, and sat three and four wide and won well in good time.
She then stepped up in grade sharply against the older mares where she missed the start, over raced, and was still very strong late, again in solid figures. She maps beautifully just off the speed and really appeals as the type to step up here with race fitness on it’s side.
Likewise, Gridelin (O’Shea / Doyle) has been doing a good job in weaker grade this prep. Both wins have been dominant in OK figures, but she does look to have some improvement to come and was soft on the line last start. Has good natural speed and will get a good run, taking the sit here the step-up in class.
Long Time Ago (Waterhouse & Bott / Berry) looks great value in early markets. Did little last prep but has come back much improved. Trials were good before resuming in a maiden at Wyong. Sat four-wide on the speed and was very strong late in good figures with the second horse winning since. Looks an improving type and can step up here with the great run from the soft draw.
Looking at early markets, Samantha stands out along with Long Time Ago on an each way basis as the value. I would be looking to maybe save on Spright, Honesty Prevails and Gridelin depending on price. Might be a good race to play some exotics with the above six runners, and hope Global Glamour isn’t in the finish.
Our NSW Ratings service gives you access to all of Snowy’s assessed prices, speed map comments and recommended bets, as well as a direct line to the man himself during meetings via our live page.