Having a Caulfield Cup Day quaddie? Don’t bet until you’ve read Trevor Lawson’s big preview.
Numbers: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 9 — 1, 2, 4, 6, 7 — 3, 4, 6, 11, 12, 14, 16, 18 — 1, 7, 8, 9, 11
Selections: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 9
CRYSTAL DREAMER (1) resumed from a long spell with a peak performance. Given time off since and doesn’t have to rate near peak to be competitive here. MALIBU STYLE (2) comes back to the 1000m here. Races on the pace, honest type. TACTICAL ADVANTAGE (3) was run off is legs first-up in Group 1. Back in class, will be strong late. MISS LEONIDAS (4) produced peak performance last start when wide throughout in G1 Moir. Doesn’t always show best but good claims here. INTUITION (5) is first-up. Has run well fresh in the past. GOD OF THUNDER (9) ran well in Sydney prior to flashing home last start over the 955m. Better suited here.
Selections: 1, 2, 4, 6, 7
LAND OF PLENTY (1) resumes off 196-day spell. Well down in class here. Will be strong late, needs breaks at right time. ROYAL MEETING (2) is an overseas galloper first-up for almost a year. Won G1 in France as a two-year-old. High Timeform rating, stable has winning ways. STREETS OF AVALON (4) found the 1600m too far last week. On the back-up here, better suited at 1400m. TOM MELBOURNE (6) led and battled on okay second-up. Looks to be able to find the front here again. Runs best races when able to dictate in front. MANOLO BLAHNIQ (7) ran well last week at this track and distance. First time on quick back-up. VARIATION (8) ran well first-up in Perth, then got too far back second-up. Stable brings right horses here.
Selections: 3, 4, 6, 11, 12, 14, 16, 18
MER DE GLACE (3) is a Japanese galloper who has won past five. D Lane has won on it in Japan. Gets nback, strong late. Slight negative is the trip, but looks likely to get it. High Timeform rating. MUSTAJEER (4) improved with each run last prep, culminating with a win in the Ebor in August. Since changed hands, now with Lees. High Timeform rating. FINCHE (6) is fourth-up here to 2400m which looks ideal. Strong to line in Turnbull running third quickest L200 of the day. Should be ready to run to best. CONSTANTINOPLE (11) is a northern hemisphere three-year-old. Placed last two runs behind high-quality horses. Produced Timeform rating of 120 last start. MR QUICKIE (12) looked disappointing on face value last start. Key is to be held up as late as possible for late sprint, which he didn’t get. Can produce powerful late burst. VOW AND DECLARE (14) ran well first-up in the Turnbull, working home nicely. Has form linked with Mr Quickie from Queensland winter. Looks to get good run. THE CHOSEN ONE (16) produced a big figure last week in the Herbert Power. Barrier 18 and D Lane off are slight negatives, but good odds. WOLFE (18) is on the the quick back-up from Wednesday. Looks the leader and has claims with 50kgs.
Selections: 1, 7, 8, 9, 11
INVINCIBELLA (1) wasn’t suited first-up off the short break. Terrific record second-up, drawn to get cosy run. POHUTUKAWA (7) ran well last start, second-up. Slight concern is draw but will be strong late. BACCARAT BABY (8) is a Queensland mare with terrific figures. Trounced Junipal in Queensland winter. First time this way. JAMAICAN RAIN (9) has a terrific record fresh. Ran at this track and distance first-up in autumn. Rain would enhance chances further. NAANTALI (10) ran well first-up, has a good record this distance range, and maps to get a good run. ANGELIC RULER (11) ran well first-up. Peaked late but pulled up lame so can excuse.
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