- There’s four main chances in a deep field, according the Mark
- Questions over the distance, but Classique Legend looks to present value.
It’s the inaugural running of the Golden Eagle, which is really interesting. The timing perhaps doesn’t feel quite right – probably because Derby Day is just so big and you’re kind of splitting the jockey ranks – but the politics of the scheduling aside, it does look like a great race. Eleven of the sixteen are rated 103 or higher, which shows there’s plenty of quality and depth there.
There are four main chances the way I see it.
Arcadia Queen actually got quite a decent run in the Everest but the reality is they’ve just messed around with the preparation to point her toward these two ridiculously rich races. You only have to look at her figures to see she’s better over further – her best run was when she beat the older horses in last year’s Kingston Town Classic at 1800 metres. So you’d suggest her optimal distance is between the mile and perhaps 2,000 metres.
They’ve trained her as a sprinter for the Everest. She’s not a sprinter, and now they’ve got to try to recalibrate within a couple of weeks to get her back to 1,500 metres. The barrier draw has brought her right in in the betting.
If you could guarantee she’ll do her best, with the running she’s going to get you’d suggest she’s the winner. But with the messy preparation, the price is pretty narrow.
Kolding is also drawn to get a good run and is coming off the Epsom win. He’s won six of seven since being gelded, so it’s proven an extremely successful operation! Again, the price is the question. With a capacity, quality field and four rock-solid winning chances, does under $5 really scream “back me”?
In any case, he’s in great form and maps well, so is a top winning hope.
— Sky Racing (@SkyRacingAU) October 5, 2019
I think the third in the Sydney Stakes was a tune-up run for this race. He was short-priced that day and so disappointing at face value, but I’m sure the whole prep has been geared toward this race.
The barrier has clearly put a spanner in the week and will be interesting. He drew a similar gate in the Doncaster and got across to the lead without too many worries, and that was basically race over.
It’ll just be interesting how it plays. Sunlight is drawn one inside Brutal and realistically isn’t a winning chance… so if they just take off and tear away, they could give Brutal a good tow right into it. But there’s a few inside of them such as Jonker and Mizzy who could kick up, and then they’re posted wide. There’s a few ifs here. If he’d drawn closer in, I’d probably have him favourite.
Classique Legend is probably the most backable of the four main hopes for mine. It’s around $7 so not a massive amount of value, but presents something.
I had a small something on him in the Everest at big odds… he wouldn’t have won, but he certainly shouldn’t have finished closer in a very chequered run. Barrier 1 here which is a tick, the query is just 1,500 metres. But if he’s ever going to get it, you’d think it’d be here – it wouldn’t have been the plan, but he had a a very soft tune-up run in the Everest which wouldn’t have affected him at all. He should be quite handy from the barrier and will look a chance at some stage, so it’s just that last 200 metres. He’s hit the line well of late though and might be worth a go at the price.