• The Group 2 Missile Stakes see the return of star mare Alizee.
  • Speed map, rated market and runner comments from pro punter Cameron O’Brien

The G2 1200m Missile Stakes is the feature at Rosehill this week. It has only attracted a small field of five unfortunately, but it is a very interesting race nonetheless, mainly for the return of champion mare ALIZEE (4) for her Spring campaign.

Speed map

The small field sees not much pace on, and I expect VEGADAZE (2) to get a pretty easy time of it in front. However given the small field, no one will be far away.

Rated market

And it’s probably not a surprise to many to see ALIZEE (4) as my clear favourite in the race. She’s the best mare going around now in the absence of Winx, and I think she’ll be winning here. If by some tomfoolery the bookies were to let her drift to $1.80 I would want to be on… I don’t usually like taking shorter than that.

Runner comments

Now a 7YO, the question mark on LE ROMAIN (1) has to be is his best form behind him? He started his 2018 Spring prep around this time last year, won first-up at Randwick going 114, before progressing to a peak of 117 in the Kennedy Mile at Flemington in the carnival. Last prep however, in the Sydney Autumn, he could only manage a top of 112, and though he was consistent in his figures he didn’t get near his top. He has trialled up OK, he’s a genuine horse though who will give his best… it’s a matter now of what his best is.

The horse in the race who may have the most upside, VEGADAZE (2) is a newly turned 4YO who got to a top of 110 in his only prep to date. I can’t definitively say that’s his all-time top, because he’s only had the 5 starts and should improve this second prep. He has trialled up okay for this and he should get a comfortable lead. If he has come on during his spell then a new peak first-up is not unreasonable.

DISSOLUTE (3) is a 6YO now with Grant Allard, and who is just not up to the others here. Would need all the leading chances to have an off day for his figures to be good enough.

Star mare ALIZEE (4) is resuming. She got to a 113 in April 2018 as a then 3Yo, which is an enormous figure for a 3YO filly, and franked that as a 4YO mare earlier this year. She resumed last prep winning at Randwick going 114, then did 114 her next two runs at Rosehill and Caulfield. Her prep tailed off a bit in the Autumn after that but she had been up for a while. She has since spelled and could not have been more authoritative winning a trial recently untouched. She looks back in at least her 114 form, and to be frank she might be going to find 119 this prep. If she goes 114 she just wins, and I think that’s exactly what she’ll do.

INVINCIBLE GEM (5) resumes off 119 days and has trialled twice for this, most recently a second at Wyong. At her top, she’s a 111 horse. She did this first-up two preps ago at Randwick over 1200m, however she had solid pace on there to help. Realistically her best trip is 1400-1600m, having said that she won this race going 111 in 2017. She’s right there with the others behind Alizee for mine.

 

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