The Horse To Beat
#18 Nakeeta Jane (Mark Newnham / Josh Parr)
The past two winners of this race, Foxplay & Alizee, have both been three-year-old fillies, and both ran fourth in the Vinery Stud Stakes G1 in their lead up.
Nakeeta Jane ran fourth in the Vinery Stud Stakes this year, after winning at Group 1 level over 1400 metres then running a close third to The Autumn Sun.
Trained by Mark Newnham who was tutored by Gai Waterhouse, and she has won this race twice in the past five years. Drawn 18 which is a crying shame, but if she can get cover and they are swooping, she can storm home over the top of them.
The Key Dangers
#5 Invincible Gem (Kris Lees / Corey Brown)
Won the Emancipation for us on Saturday week at $9.50, which has proven a great lead up race for winners of this race in previous years, and was outstanding in the Coolmore before that run. Is flying, and is a big price flying under the radar here.
#11 Sedanzer (Waterhouse & Bott / Tim Clark)
Gai Waterhouse has won two of the past five runnings of this race. Sedanzer ran a good fourth in the Emancipation on Saturday second-up, and is well suited to this race third-up.
Has an excellent record over the Randwick mile, including a close fourth to Unforgotten first-up last prep, and blinkers go on here. Reminds me of Amanpour who won this race for Gai previously.
#7 Unforgotten (Chris Waller / James McDonald)
Has a very good record over the Randwick mile on dry tracks, winning a Group 2, running a close third at Group 1 level behind Hartnell, and third to Winx and Happy Clapper three starts ago. Must respect here.
For The Exotics
#19 Seabrook (Mick Price / Brett Prebble)
Coming back from a solid fifth in the Vinery which is a great form reference for this. Last time she ran over the Randwick mile she won the Group 1 Champagne Stakes as a two-year-old.
#13 Kenedna (Maher & Eustace / John Allen)
Ran home strongly last start for third. Trainer won this race three years ago, and has the “Ex-Weir, Drink Beer” factor. Underrated mare who can surprise here.
#1 Alizee (James Cummings / Hugh Bowman)
Had been flying this prep before last start failure on a wet track. Before that her previous two runs over the Randwick mile had both translated into Group 1 wins.
The issue with her is she has had a very long prep starting in December, and this feels like an afterthought. She’s the class mare of the field but I feel she is under the odds given the profile.
Dean Evans has made a habit of identifying false favourites and inaccurate markets, particularly in the big races.
He’s enjoyed an awesome Autumn to date with a string of big winners, including Aliferous $57, Harlem $41, Dixie Blossoms $22, Booker $21, Haripour $20, Gallic Chieftain $17, Fifty Stars $11 and Invincible Gem $9.50.
Find out what all the fuss is about today.