- Reykjavik and New Universe look tough to beat
- Happy to dodge favoured runner Organza
- A $12 shot is the value in the early market
Melbourne pro-punter Trevor Lawson brings you his Recognition Stakes preview as the field competes down the straight at Flemington.
#1 Another Coldie (Wilde / Mallyon)
Barrier 8, 60kg
Ran honestly last start, but poorly graded here.
#2 Naval Warfare (Waller / Walker)
Barrier 6, 60kg
Resumes here. Trials only fair, prefer over longer.
#3 Reykjavik (Smith / Yendall)
Barrier 3, 59kg
Had a super win in the Winter Championship at second Victorian start. Looks a promising type.
Lindsey Smith trained Reykjavik ices rivals in the Listed Winter Championship Series Final at @FlemingtonVRC. A 4YO by @stockwell_tb’ Artie Schiller (47 SWs), Reykjavik was bred (& part-owned) by James Ch’Ng and has won six races (with a further 13 placings) for $462,435 in stks pic.twitter.com/G9bvx7hSeU
— Aushorse (@Aushorse_TBA) July 6, 2019
#4 Al Galayel (Maher & Eustace / Zahra)
Barrier 5, 58.5kg
Only just a run first-up, but pulled up lame. Can improve dramatically, rough chance.
#5 Guizot (Purcell / Allen)
Barrier 9, 58kg
Has been up forever. Has peaks and troughs. Will be thereabouts. Rough chance.
#6 Radipole (Moroney / Poy)
Barrier 11, 57.5kg
Ran honestly first-up, then held up at vital stage last start. Rough chance here.
#7 New Universe (Waller / Williams)
Barrier 2, 55.5kg
Has had no luck at past three runs. Steps back out to right trip here and can settle closer from better draw. Williams goes on. All positive.
#8 Organza (Cummings / Dunn)
Barrier 1, 55kg
Had been running well interstate. Well held last week when 28 days between runs. Quick back-up here. Rough chance for mine.
#9 Travimyfriend (Frost / Noonan)
Barrier 7, 55kg
On the quick back-up after a win. This looks different class of race… rough chance.
#10 Holbien (Richards / King)
Barrier 12, 54.5kg
Ran okay last start at this trip. Has some claims.
#11 Wenner (Keys / Meech)
Barrier 10, 54kg
Had two runs back from a spell and been well beaten. Not sure how it’s going, would prefer to see more.
#12 Kentucky Breeze (Kavanagh / Kah)
Barrier 4, 54kg
Ran well first-up then had excuses in past two. Can improve dramatically here, chance at big odds.
#13 Tristano (Cumani / Kersley)
Barrier 13, 54kg
Ran well second-up, then pulled up lame last start. Prefer others.
Verdict
I’ve got Reykjavik on top from New Universe and Holbein. Of those three, Holbein looks slight overs in early markets, while I’ve got the other two marked just on the market price.
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