- Speed map and runner comments from pro punter Mark Rhoden
- Mark likes the favourite, but has multiple chances over the odds
The Everest Speed Map
If Nature Strip really lets fly the field will break up more than this, but otherwise some of the jockeys mapped in the three-wide line here will have some work to do.
1 Santa Ana Lane
Outstanding sprinter who will be primed to peak here. His best figures are the best of any horse in the race. The inside draw isn’t ideal on paper, but a solid westerly wind may assist those drawn near the rail.
— Australian Turf Club (@atc_races) October 15, 2019
Top class sprinter but although he’s capable on dry, his very best is on soft ground. Similar to Santa Ana Lane, the inside draw doesn’t look great but the wind conditions may counteract that.
He might be past his very best now, but he did trial very well since his last start. I won’t be on him but certainly wouldn’t shock to see him win this for the third year running.
4 Nature Strip
$26 is over the odds on his best figures but he has to be a huge risk at 1200m against this class of horse. Although, the wind on the day may be a plus for him.
Honest sprinter who will get back in the field and is likely to fall short in this class.
6 Classique Legend
Unsuited last start and the fast pace will be in his favour. If he can get some cover, he can finish off well and he looks over the odds.
7 Ten Sovereigns
Drawn badly but has one of the best jockeys in the world in the saddle in Ryan Moore. It’s impossible to know how he’s going but his July Cup performance would win this. If you’re betting in the race it’s hard to let him go round at better than 20/1.
Has trialled well since last start and the tempo will suit. Against that, she’d either need a new peak performance – or plenty of others to fail – to win here.
Her best form is down the Flemington straight and she’s probably short of the mark in this grade.
10 In Her Time
Has an outstanding first-up record and drawn to get her chance. Would need her absolute best to win here, but she’s over the odds.
11 Arcadia Queen
Impressive winner at her first NSW start. She had all the favours that day and while she has a chance, I think she’s under the odds.
— STEVE HEWLETT 🏇🎣 🛥 (@stevejoseph69) October 17, 2019
12 Yes Yes Yes
The blinkers go on and a fast run 1200m will suit. I think he’s around his right price but can certainly win without surprising.
The Everest Verdict
A great race with a stack of chances. Santa Ana Lane is my top pick, and if the wind produces yet another “up the inside” pattern at Randwick his inside draw may be a help rather than a hindrance.
I think there are a few value runners in the race worth saving on – Classique Legend, Ten Sovereigns and In Her Time are all attractive odds in my opinion.
There are plenty of others you can make a case for, and it should be a great betting race – and hopefully a fantastic contest.