Run To The Rose race preview

By guest reviewer Todd Burmester If money speaks all languages, the Run To The Rose which is Race 7 at Rosehill on Saturday is all over – Smart Missile wins easily. From an opening price of even money, he is now a shade of odds on. He certainly is into a good things price, but is it justified? I suppose I’m not convinced. He is unbeaten of course, and there was plenty of money to say he would have beaten Sepoy in The Golden Slipper (as he did in the Todman, the start before), but looking at what Sepoy did in The Slipper and has now done again first up this campaign, it would have been a big ask to say Smart Missile would have beaten him that day. There is no Sepoy in this race of course, so that does clear the path a little for Smart Missile, but horses racing first up as 3yo’s are a watch and see proposition for mine. The other one that fits the category of watch and see is Helmet, another impressive juvenile who shapes as a likely 3yo but is yet to actually do it. In this race, the main 3 to concentrate on I think are Foxwedge, Karuta Queen and Diamond To Pegasus. They say winning form is good form, and Foxwedge got the win last start and looked to have improvement in him. Karuta Queen usually leads and is another who will benefit from the first up run, and Diamond To Pegasus was screaming home last start. I think the winner of this race is likely to come from those 3 horses that have all had the benefit of one run this campaign, with my top pick being Foxwedge. If you do fancy having a go at long odds though I do note that Diamond To Pegasus has been a firmer in early markets, into $26 from as long as $71. Whilst this race is set to be a very competitive spectacle, I don’t see it as a race to get too carried away about from a betting point of view, simply because of the unknown factor of how Smart Missile and Helmet will return from their spells. One of them may simply blow the field away.