Randwick, Saturday 15 Feb, randwick guineas, sydney cup

The Sydney Cup is a time-honoured Group 1 staying race held at Randwick Racecourse during The Championships, Sydney’s major autumn racing event. First run in 1862, the Sydney Cup is a handicap over 3200 metres, with prize money of $2 million.

Sydney Cup: Key runners

Professional punter Cameron O’Brien runs the Key Race Insights service for Champion Bets. The below is just some of Cameron’s runner comments for this race. Key Race Insights members receive Cameron’s full report for every Group 1 and $1 million race in Australia. This is for those who want to win on the big races, and includes his historical race profile, speed map, full rated market and recommended bets. And it’s less than $5 per race! Check out Key Race Insights here.

Prices courtesy of TopSport at time of publication.

STOCKMAN [$5] is race favourite at the time of writing but I am willing to oppose at the price. He has held ratings of 109 at his last two starts, but that might not quite be enough here. He’s in form and handles the wet, but at the price I am against him.

SUREFIRE [$10] is the horse with the most upside in the race. He’s held 107 ratings this prep and I am sure he has more in him than that, too. He’s closing his races off very nicely, like a horse looking for this trip, he the handles wet as he has already shown and he’s in with no weight. Goes well.

KNIGHTS ORDER [$10] is a wet tracker racing well and gets in well at the weights now, with quite a big weight drop. He gets a good run up on pace too. He won the Brisbane Cup last winter so obviously gets the 3200m. Should go well here.

LUNCIES [$10] is mixing his form so far this prep but has better figures, went well here in the St Leger last spring and has won on wet tracks in the past in Europe. His form this prep so far hasn’t been great, though he did improve last start with a third in the Chairman’s. So may be ready to show something like his best.

CHALK STREAM [$11] put in an improved effort second-up last start and showed in Europe that he has better figures than that, too. At his best over there he got up to a 112 rating, which would make him quite hard to beat here. On the flipside of that he has been laying in a bit in his races here which is not a great sign. It’s hard to know exactly what we’ll get out of him but he’s certainly good enough

SHERAZ [$12] has won up around this trip in Europe and after three runs back here should be fitter and ready to show something. Williams on a plus too. If he finds his European form he’s in this up to his ears. If he finds his Australian form he’ll be running unplaced. That’s the conundrum here!

NO COMPROMISE [$12] scored a tough on pace win last start on the heavy at Rosehill. He’s in form and racing well. This is his first look at 3200m, but there’s no evidence to say he won’t get it.

THE CHOSEN ONE [$18] ran fifth in last year’s Melbourne Cup, which reads well, but he was beaten over 10 lengths. However he ran second in this race in 2020, fourth in the 2020 Melbourne Cup, then sixth in this race last year. So although he hasn’t won at 3200m, his form at this trip is sound. He showed first-up with a win at Trentham in G1 grade that he’s back near his top Should go well again here.

ANGEL OF TRUTH [$21] loves wet tracks and is going to get that here. He ran very well resuming in the Chipping Norton, has been a bit flat in two runs since, but can bounce back now fourth-up and is going to go around at a good price. Slight query is a strong 3200m… that’s the one concern here.

LE BAOL [$41] is a tricky one to mark. He’s drawn terribly, which is an issue, but he was very good here on the heavy two back and looked like he had more to offer. He couldn’t repeat that last start, but he looks like he has enough ability to potentially figure here.

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