The punting premiership (Victorian jockeys)

Peter Moody and Mick Price were Victoria’s standout trainers last season from a punting perspective, but which riders were the most profitable to follow? Today we’ll look at the top 10 Victorian metro jockeys and pay special attention to how they performed for punters. As mentioned in the trainers series, it’s unfair to gauge a jockey’s performance using a flat betting approach where the same stake is outlayed on a 100/1 shot as one at even money. So our measuring stick is Profit on Turnover with a proportionate staking (aka target betting) approach. Profit on Turnover for all of the jockey’s metro rides will be one category, but we will also pay special attention to their results when riding a horse that is well in the market. By definition, favoured runners get the majority of punters money so it’s worth isolating their record on horses at 6/1 and under. You can look at statistics in all sorts of ways, but the guide we have put together is far better than simply assessing a jockey on number of wins and strike-rate. We are punters after all! So let’s take a look at the top 10 in the Victorian Jockeys Premiership: Victorian Jockeys Some notes for each jockey: • Luke Nolen – it’s interesting to note that you could just back every Nolen ride at 6/1 or under and make a profit. Despite his partnership with the Moody stable and high profile thanks to the mighty mare Black Caviar, it’s quite amazing that the market actually underestimates his rides. • Craig Newitt – punters following all of his rides didn’t do well, but he performed OK on the fancied runners. • Craig Williams – excellent effort on favoured runners and a little better than the norm overall. • Ben Melham – above average effort from a rider who doesn’t get all that much publicity. • Damien Oliver – incredibly over-rated last season by punters who love the name and his Hall of Fame career, but are unaware of his recent record. • Jake Noonan – disappointing record on favoured runners last season before his terrible fall. • Chris Symons – a real quiet achiever who rewarded his followers with a profitable season even if you backed every ride ‘blind’. • Dwayne Dunn – contrasting results for Dunn, with a very good record on favoured runners but slightly worse than average overall. • Glen Boss – the most over-rated Victorian jockey. This isn’t necessarily his fault as he can’t control the betting market, but his big reputation meant punters severely over-rated the winning chance of his rides. • Michael Rodd – many will be surprised to see that Rodd’s rides performed so poorly, but the fact is that last season was a disappointing one for his fans. Luke Nolen and Chris Symons were the clear stand-outs for punters betting on metropolitan Victorian racing last season, while Damien Oliver and Glen Boss were at the other end of the scale.   Good punting David Duffield