value dominic beirne, melbourne cup tips, topsport podcast episode 10

Keep reading below for the top Melbourne Cup tips and advice from pro punter Trevor Lawson, as he dishes out his pointers on how to handle the week


Melbourne Cup Tips 2020

The top Melbourne Cup tips are here, or you can check out our full guide to all the top contenders right here.

Tiger Moth: currently $6 with TopSport

Lightly-raced Irish stayer from Aidan O’Brien who has been given a big weight penalty for the Cup after a four-length win in the Group 3 Kilternan Stakes over 2400 metres.

Surprise Baby: currently $8 with TopSport

Ran a very credible fifth placing in the 2019 Cup. Ran a solid second on return in the Feehan Stakes at Moonee Valley. Finished ninth in the Turnbull Stakes, but was held up badly and closed well when finally got a run.

Russian Camelot: currently $8.50 with TopSport

Victorian trainer Danny O’Brien is looking to go back-to-back after last year’s triumph of Vow And Declare, and he might just have the horse to do it. A superb win in the South Australian Derby put Russian Camelot on everybody’s radar. Returned with a huge run to finish second in the Group 1 Makybe Diva Stakes and had a subsequent win in the Group 1 Underwood, before being turned over by Arcadia Queen in the Caulfield Stakes. Main target is the Cox Plate, but ownership has confirmed their intention to also run in the Cup.

Check out all the contenders in the market here.


The Melbourne Cup Carnival is four days of high quality racing at Flemington where the best jockeys, horses, trainers and even punters come together. Big fields are the order of the day and even bigger value to be found in the majority of races.

We sat down with our resident Melbourne racing analyst Trevor Lawson to get his best Melbourne Cup tips… how should we approach the week?

Big fields and wide markets are the order of the day during Cup week, what is your advice at playing them?

I have always liked betting this week. I tend to find a lot of the races have false favourites during Cup week so this creates big opportunities to back horses at good odds. If you can identify which runners are too short in the markets and then work your betting around them then Cup week will be very enjoyable for your bank balance.

What sort of bias should punters look for at Flemington?

The bias is heavily dependent on the weather for the week leading up and can change dramatically during the week. As there is no hard and fast rule on how this will play my best advice is to monitor the races that have been run to see if a pattern is emerging and if we can use this to our advantage in the coming races. The other major factor of bias at Flemington is the wind. So keep one eye on the races and one eye on the sky this week!

Do you have any Melbourne Cup tips? What’s the best way to handle the race?

It has turned into a unique race on the calendar with the influx of overseas runners. I use Timeform along with a couple of other sites to watch replays and obtain ratings on these runners. I tend to only play if I can find a local runner that I like then have a couple of saver bets on overseas runners should I believe their form lines up well for the event.

Horses come from all around Australia for this week how do you go lining up the form?

I personally don’t find it too much of an issue. I have all the form covered for the Victorian runners. There is a lot of information available like replays etc to get a guide on the interstate raiders.

The straight races are now unique to Flemington for metropolitan racing. How do you go about playing these events?

Personally, I am not a huge fan of the straight races. It has raced very inconsistently during the year and a lot of horses seem to get lost in running. So I stopped betting on them. I tend to only like betting if I can be sure all the runners will come to the inside fence. I really don’t like when the outside fence is the place to be. Just too much luck involved for my liking.

Advice for keeping a healthy punting balance this week?

It is important to not change your process, your betting levels or structure just for this week. Yes, it’s a big week in racing and there is a lot of value in markets. There’s a lot of media attention and the urge to bet right up is strong. However there is no last race or last meeting. Sticking to the plan you have outlined will not hold you in good stead. If it’s a maiden at Hamilton or the Melbourne Cup, the workings of your bank must remain the same. Discipline is the key.

Punt like a pro with Trevor Lawson’s Melbourne Ratings.

As well as a full set of rated prices, speed maps and suggested bets, you can spend each and every raceday with a pro punter: the Melbourne Ratings Live Page gives you direct access to Trev himself to ask whatever you like.

If you're keen to win, it’s the only way to punt.

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