Toorak Handicap 2021: Pro punter preview
Pro punter Trevor Lawson gives us his thoughts on the 2021 Toorak Handicap.
The Toorak is usually a good betting race, and it should be again this year. I’m Thunderstruck is clear top pick… but he could be in an awkward spot off the map. The three horses drawn inside him all have more speed than him, so he could get caught three back the fence which would make things difficult.
TOFANE is racing honestly but has got too much weight here.
SUPERSTORM is also racing honestly and this trip suits. Has rough claims.
SIERRA SUE‘s best form has been over 1400m. The wide draw here is also slight concern. I’m happy to risk her.
ELEPHANT is racing well, but will need another step to win this… and I’m hot sure he has that in him.
DICE ROLL is racing well and was narrowly beaten in the Sir Rupert Clarke when going around at big odds. He’s a slight concern at the trip, but still looks slight value here.
HARBOUR VIEWS outperformed the market when winning first-up off a long spell. He regressed last start however, and has a wide draw here. I’m happy to go around him..
AYSAR ran a peak figure two starts ago in the Sir Rupert Clarke when he sat wide on the speed the entire trip He then rated down significantly last start, but overraced and can be forgiven. He get pacifiers here and seems to be overs at this stage.
IRISH FLAME is an honest galloper but looks outclassed here.
“He’s a winning chance… I couldn’t be happier with him.”
I’m Thunderstruck is ready to rock in the Toorak Handicap. ⚡ pic.twitter.com/BBiK4Fzjfq
— Racing.com (@Racing) October 6, 2021
I’M THUNDERSTRUCK was unlucky in the Sir Rupert Clarke when he was drawn wide and flashed home. He’s drawn inside here, which may be a concern. He’s certainly the horse to beat, just needs clear running in the straight.
SECOND SLIP rated well first-up two runs back, then rated down when stepping to this trip. It’s hard to see him stepping to his best here. Rough claims.
EMBOLISM put in a terrific effort first-up when long odds. The map looks okay, as does the trip. If he can hold his rating here he has a rough chance, and a reasonable chance if he improves.
LUNAR FOX, QUANTUM MECHANIC and SO YOU ASSUME are not good enough to figure here.
I’ve got I’m Thunderstruck marked around $3 here, with the rest of the field at $9. Pray for an easy passage for him!
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