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Zipping Classic 2021: Pro punter preview

Pro punter Trevor Lawson gives us his thoughts on the 2021 Zipping Classic at Caulfield.

It’s all about SPANISH MISSION isn’t it?

It’s simply a highly-rated horse going around against a bunch of inferior horses. It’s well above the class of everything else here. There’s no serious rivals to it running here… I would assume the new owners of Spanish Mission are simply running to try to get some of the purchase price back, which is fair enough. The horse is fit at the moment (coming off third placing in the Melbourne Cup) so they might as well run it. It wins easily here, all going right.

The only real question would be how it parades, but I’m tipping it’s in good condition. Moody wouldn’t run it otherwise.

To give you an idea of my early pricing here, I have Spanish Mission as $1.35 favourite. WARNING is $22 second pick in my market, and SILENT SOVEREIGN as $67 third pick.

Warning went well in the Queen Elizabeth, but still not good enough to get near Spanish Mission on my figures. Spanish Mission would have to regress quite a bit, and Warning improve, for there to be an upset in my opinion.

SOUND was second behind Warning in that race, but easily beaten. There’d have to be an improvement of around 1.5 lengths to get to Warning, let alone Spanish Mission.

WENTWOOD was third in the Queen Elizabeth and went well, but is inferior to the others here. LUNAR FLARE was fifth in the race and is going okay, but would also have to go to a completely new level to be any hope here.

SILENT SOVEREIGN went well at Ballarat, but not well enough for this. FLASH AAH, DR DRILL and SKELM are simply not good enough.

So with it marked $1.35, I guess Spanish Mission is value for me at the moment! But I won’t be getting involved at this sort of price. It makes it a non-betting race, which is a bit sad for a $750,000 race. Hopefully we find some elsewhere on the card!

Punt like a pro with Trevor Lawson’s Melbourne Ratings.

As well as a full set of rated prices, speed maps and suggested bets, you can spend each and every raceday with a pro punter: the Melbourne Ratings Live Page gives you direct access to Trev himself to ask whatever you like.

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