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Read on for NRL Round 5 early mail and betting leans for each game…

NRL Round 5: Knights vs Manly, Thursday night

Early prediction: Knights
The value: Knights, $1.80 at TopSport

  • Ponga was woeful against the Sharks, so not clear if he is anywhere near 100%
  • Manly without Tom T and the market has moved 8 points as a result, with Knights now favourites
  • Points might be hard to come by here for Manly, so like the Knights at home
NRL Round 5: Warriors vs Cowboys, Friday night

Early prediction: Cowboys
The value: Cowboys, 2.03 at TopSport

  • Warriors have won their last 2 games and Cowboys have lost past two
  • But Fonua-Blake in serious doubt and Tevega out really hurts the Warriors pack
  • Cowboys had three sin bins against the Roosters last week and are in decent form in my view
Broncos vs Roosters, Friday night

Early prediction: Roosters comfortably
The value: Total points over at TopSport

  • Brisbane’s dream start has turned into car crash, with lots of injuries and dramas
  • The Roosters played fantastic against the Cowboys and all big guns are now firing
  • Broncos form sliding, while Roosters are on the up
NRL Round 5: Raiders vs Storm, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Storm in a thriller
The value: Raiders +13.5 at TopSport

  • Raiders played very poorly against Manly last week, but have ability to bounce back
  • Storm were great against Doggies, but this will be a step up in class
  • Neutral venue gives Raiders some hope, they should have plenty of fans at Mudgee
Souths vs Dragons, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Souths
The value: Souths -9.5 at TopSport

  • Souths have had a tough draw so far, playing Roosters, Storm and Panthers over past 3 weeks
  • Dragons have also had a tough run having played Eels, Sharks and Panthers.
  • Souths should be too good here, and I think they will cover the line.
Titans vs Eels, Saturday night

Early prediction: Eels, just
The value: Titans +7.5 at TopSport

  • Despite their last start win, the Titans were very poor against the Tigers
  • The Eels have been in stellar form and are deserved favourites here.
  • Titans are at home and with some big inclusions, I’m not going to write them off here.
NRL Round 5: Sharks vs Tigers, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Sharks by 12
The value: Wests +17.5 at TopSport

  • Sharks continue to improve and at home will be very hard to beat
  • Wests were gallant in defence last week, but lacked the class to score any tries last week.
  • With a lot of rain forecasted, the line looks a little long to me.
Bulldogs vs Panthers, Sunday night

Early prediction: : Panthers comfortably
The value: Total points unders at TopSport

  • Flanagan gets a chance to partner Burton, and I think this is overdue move.
  • If the Doggies can kick well and force the Panthers into a grind, they might put up a fight.
  • Panthers look far too strong here and outside backs should be too classy.

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