As well as providing his best value bets every week, our NRL guru Steve Green also previews every NRL game for members. Each week on the blog we’ll feature three of his match previews from the eight games. Check out his NRL Round 9 Triple Preview…
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NRL Round 9: Dragons v Bulldogs
The Dragons losing Zac Lomax is a big blow to a team that is starting to show some really worrying signs.
Earlier in the season the Dragons looked to be playing tough, error-free footy…but in recent weeks their form has really dropped off. From Round 5 to 8 (the past month) the Dragons have the second most missed tackles, the 5th most line breaks conceded and the 4th most run metres conceded. But worst of all, they have the least amount of metres made.
With Ravalawa and Pereira still missing, they are losing a lot of go forward early in their sets, and the likes of Vaughan and Lawrie are having to do their hit ups without any momentum. Ramsay is also in doubt, meaning this could be a very understrength Dragons backline.
Norman also looks to be straying from the game plan at times and falling back into the habit of making poor decisions, while the strong early season form of guys like Fuimaono, Kerr and Alvaro is dropping off.
While the Doggies stats are nothing too flash, they once again showed some heart to stage a mini fightback against the high flying Eels last weekend.
After a strong game for the Mounties, there is a very good chance that Luke Lewis is promoted back into the top grade and this will allow Alvero to push out to the centres and strengthen their backline further.
I do not think the Dragons have done enough to be 10.5 favourites for this one and think the Doggies offer a little bit of value at the line.
Predicted score Dragons 22 – Bulldogs 16
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