As well as providing his best value bets every week, our NRL guru Steve Green also previews every NRL game for members. Each week on the blog we’ll feature three of his match previews from the eight games. Check out his NRL Round 9 Triple Preview…
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NRL Round 9: Eels v Roosters
I thought the Roosters were amazing against the Knights. While a lot of the focus was on how the Knights played poorly, the Roosters were simply ruthless in the opening 20 minutes.
Every mistake made by the Knights led to a try, with Sam Walker leading the way and the Morris brothers, Tupou and the highly underrated Ikuvalu finishing off every half chance that came their way.
However, the Roosters injury toll is now getting ridiculous. This weekend they will be without Sitili Tupouniua, Freddy Lussick, Billy Smith, Boyd Cordner, Luke Keary, Brett Morris, Lindsay Collins and Jake Friend.
Contrast this to the Eels, who are likely to be without Nathan Brown in terms of key players missing.
The Eels are playing at Bankwest (where they always seem to lift, and hopefully you can see why my system says the Eels are value at -4.5.
Although a lot of attention is focussed on the Panthers, Storm, Souths and Roosters, the Eels look like they have taken a big step forward in 2021 and now genuine contenders.
The Eels back three are as good as any in the competition, while their spine is also up there with the likes of the Storm. They have plenty of depth in the forwards and a low injury toll to deal with.
With a slightly stronger squad and a home ground advantage, I would normally be putting this one forward as a 2 Unit play.
However, I am conscious that in such an uneven season (so far!) the strength of each team’s draw to date could be distorting things. The Eels have only played one team currently in the top 5 (the Storm), so there is a risk that their numbers are being inflated by some soft opponents (Broncos x 2, Wests, Bulldogs etc…).
I am happy with the small play we have on this one and will be watching closely as to how the Eels go about shutting down the gifted Sam Walker.
Predicted Score Eels 22 – Roosters 12
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