- Best value AFL line bets every week.
- Generated by our data scientist's custom player model.
- Bets with recommended stakes delivered prior to each weekend.
AFL Betting Tips
OUR DATA SCIENTIST
The analyst behind AFL Betting Tips in 2022 is Andrew, our in-house data scientist. Andrew has been compiling our database ratings since 2016, showing how his high-level modelling skills work when applied to betting markets.
Andrew has a formal education in machine learning and artificial intelligence, and professional experience in financial markets. His skills have also been employed by bookmakers and professional punters searching for that extra edge.
Andrew uses this experience and a variety of data sources to build player-level AFL models capable of consistently beating the bookies.
He also has a lifelong passion for AFL footy, which only helps his analysis!
AFL Betting Tips : The Approach
Andrew uses cutting edge techniques to find the best AFL Betting Tips.
He’s an experienced data scientist who uses an ensemble approach to his analysis, with a strong weighting given to custom player models.
Where the output of his analysis produces a similar line to the bookies, we just watch the game.
When there is sufficient value, we are betting.
Better data and better analytical tools give us a consistent edge on the bookies.
We bet into the biggest betting market there is: the line. (For example, Melbourne -11.5 points, or St Kilda +7.5 points)
This is the biggest and deepest betting market on AFL football. This makes it easier for you to get your bets on at the price and line you want.
When & Where
AFL Betting Tips operates every week of the AFL season, up to and including the Grand Final. The normal weekly schedule will see bets released on Wednesday morning (for Thursday’s game), Thursday morning (for Friday’s game) and Friday morning (for weekend games).
Members updates are delivered straight to your smartphone via our app, as well as by email and in the members section on the website.
AFL Betting Tips can be released for any game – but only when there’s value. We don’t just bet for the sake of it.
You can expect to bet into 3 or 4 games each round, so this really is a ‘best bets’ service.
Why Champion Bets?
Founded in 2006, Champion Bets is Australia’s favourite, most trusted and most transparent provider of betting tips and advice. We give you direct access to selections and advice from true betting champions: some of the sharpest betting analysts and professional punters from across Australia and the world.
We have a local customer service team, located in Melbourne, who are on hand to answer your questions via phone or email. Contact us now.
The AFL tips are produced by the same data scientist who has produced our database ratings for the last 6 years. He has formal education in machine learning and artificial intelligence and professional experience in the financial markets. He uses these skills, a variety of data sources and a lifelong passion for AFL to build models that consistently beat the bookies.
A key component to the AFL model is bespoke player ratings that are highly effective in assessing overall team strength. This player-level focus is crucial in what looks likely to be a COVID-affected season
The AFL Tips package focuses on the biggest betting market where we’re backing the favourite or underdog at the line.
All matches are analysed, and bets advised where the model suggests value is available.
Results are recorded at the recommended fixed price available at the time of release. They’ll be updated weekly on the Champion Bets results page.
WHEN & WHERE
The service covers the entire AFL season and all finals up to and including the Grand Final.
Here’s the normal weekly schedule (AEDT):
Wednesday AM: For Thursday’s game
Thursday AM: For Friday’s game
Friday AM: For weekend games
Please note there may be a weekend morning update if team changes or odds movement result in a line becoming a value bet.
Updates are delivered straight to your smartphone via our App as well as by email and in the members section on the website.
WHO TO BET WITH
TopSport is our preferred bookmaker for AFL, other sports and racing.
Members with access to a number of corporate bookmaker accounts (as well as Betfair) will naturally have access to a wider range and thus potentially better prices.
The use of an odds comparison tool such as Oddschecker or SportsPunter is recommended to ensure you capture the best available price.
WHEN TO BET
You should place your bets as soon as you can upon receiving them: preferably being set up with your accounts and ready to bet when the message arrives.
Questions? Our customer service team is available by phone or email – get in touch for a chat.