NRL Betting Market Review: Round 2

Who has the market got wrong so far this season?

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Yesterday we put together our AFL line ladder for the first time to get an idea of how clubs performed against market expectations in Round 1.

Today, we look at the same table for the NRL.

At this early stage (two rounds in), things look fairly similar to the league table.

Wests have made a huge start to the season, but the numbers here outline just how good that’s really been. The market gave the Tigers a -1.5 and -3.5 point handicap against the Sea Eagles and Warriors respectively.

They’ve smashed that comprehensively, rolling Manly by 14 and the Warriors by 28. Their spot atop the table is very well deserved.

Similarly the Eels, who sit second predominantly due to their 20 point drubbing of the Bulldogs at the weekend, after the market gave them a +6.5 point head start.

Which brings us to the other end of the table. The Bulldogs have copped beltings at the hands of the Warriors and the Eels – well, well beyond what was expected. Things don’t look pretty at Belmore.

We’ll keep an eye on these numbers as the season continues – it gives a good guide not only to team performance versus expectation, but also how the market is handling each team.

After 3 straight winning seasons, Steve Green’s NRL Tips is back for NRL 2019.

Steve will cover every NRL game for the season, as well as State of Origin and Internationals.

New to this season, Steve will also be recommending some half-time plays on selected games.