Friday Night NRL Preview: Souths vs Sharks

Who will rise above the Origin adversity?

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NRL Tips guru Steve Green previews the Origin-affected blockbuster between Souths and Cronulla.. don’t do your footy tips until you’ve read it.

It is a real shame that these two in-form teams are meeting on a weekend affected by Origin duties.

The Sharks have been slowly but surely getting better each week and as they are only missing Holmes through Origin duties, they head into match with a very strong team. Graham was cleared by the judiciary and Fifita looks set to play, so it’s little wonder they have shortened as the week has gone on.

I know a few sharp punters that have backed the Sharks heavily here, but my model still has it as a danger game and with the 1.69 around now, it is too short for my liking.

Although the Sharks have won their last 6 in a row, 5 of those wins have been against teams outside the top 8 (Raiders, Eels, Titans x 2 and Doggies). So while the Sharks have definitely improved, I think their form line is a little overstated due to the quality of their opposition in those matches.

Although Souths are missing Gagai, Inglis, Crichton and Cook, their squad has a lot of depth and I think what Coach Siebold has done to plus the holes.

Adam Douehi at fullback will be interesting, but this young bloke is a natural footballer and should handle the job. Farah might lack the speed of Cook, but he will bring experience and smarts…plus he will be desperate to show other clubs his worth. Tyrell Fuimaono is back from injury and will fit in well to the forward pack with Crichton out.

The other fact that has me thinking the Bunnies will not be easy beats is the home ground advantage. The Sharks love to push the envelope in defence and although they can get away with that more at home, if they try to slow down the Burgess brothers by wrestling in the ruck, they might be on the end of a big penalty count.

The Sharkies should win this and cement their place in the top 4… but there is not enough value left in their price for me to have a bet.

Predicted Score

Sharks 20
Souths 16

Despite enduring possibly the worst beat in punting history on the weekend, NRL Tips members have made $4,900 profit this season.

That comes on the back of $6,000 profit across 2016 and 2017.

With three Futures bets looking strong and plenty more NRL to come, there is no reason why 2018 shouldn’t be your most profitable season EVER.

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