2016 US Open Preview

The 116th edition of the US Open will be played at arguably the toughest course in the world. Listening to some of the guys far this week, you’d think they were playing on the moon. This is one of many videos posted by players and it shows just how fast the greens are.

Oakmont Country Club was founded in 1903 and is located is 15 miles north east of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The last time the US Open was staged here was 2007 and the winner, Angel Cabrera, finished with a score of +5. Not only that but, remarkably, every single hole averaged over par. A few more remarkable stats to take out of that week:

– All 11 amateurs in the field missed the cut
– Only 6 men shot less than 10 over par for the week
– Only 4 men shot par or better on day 4 (only 2 broke par)

I think this quote sums it up perfectly:
You can hit 72 greens in the Open at Oakmont and not come close to winning.” – Arnold Palmer

The big 3 head the market but I’m not sure I can back any of them. Such is the test, a random 4 putt or filthy lie in the rough could lead to a catastrophic triple bogey or worse and taking single figure prices on anyone is surely folly. Day is rightful favourite and probably the most likely winner, but I’ll leave all 3 alone.

I’ll probably add to the following bets in the next 24 hours, but these are a good start:

Koepka – already backed at $51, now a general $41 shot and as short as $33 in places. He performed well last week, finishing second and has the perfect profile to figure here. Just needs a bit of luck at the right time.

Mickelson – $29 Various 0.5u ew 1/4 top 6 – Has the magical short game and temperament to deal with what will be an incredibly tough test.

Leishman – $81 Various 0.2u ew 1/4 top 6 – 15th for scrambling and 6th in bogey avoidance on tour, demonstrating how good his approach play and putting are going at the moment. He drives it long and straight and has form at the top table, with 3 top 5 finishes in 18 major tournament starts.

Others I like are as follows:

Reed – $51 Various 0.2u ew 1/4 top 6
Grace – $51 Various 0.2u ew 1/4 top 6
Snedeker – $67 Sportsbet 0.2u ew 1/5 top 7

On the side markets, I’m really keen on Kuchar and a couple of South Africans at big odds. Kuch has been Mr consistent recently with 6 top 10 finishes in his last 8 events on tour. He also has incredible form on tough US Open courses, with 6 cuts made in a row in this tournament resulting in 6 top 30 finishes.

Kuchar top 20 $2.75 Crownbet 2u ($2.50 Various)
Kuchar top 10 $5 Crownbet 1u ($4.50 Various)
Goosen top 20 $6 Various 0.5u
Goosen top 10 $13 Crownbet 0.25u ($12 Various)
Goosen top SA $10 Sportsbet 0.3u ($8 Various)
Els top SA $17 Sportsbet 0.2u ($15 Various)

Back tomorrow with some tournament match bets and maybe some other side markets.

Be Lucky

Matt’s Sports Bets