- Full preview of the NRL Nines with pro punter Steve Green
- Steve’s six best bets for the weekend
It has been a long hot summer, so it will be great to have some Rugby League back on our screens!
Although the Nines format isn’t for everyone, it provides a good chance for young guys to show what they offer, while also allowing some veterans to come out of retirement and pull the boots on for one last run around.
And for punters that do the hard yards in the off-season, it can provide some good punting opportunities.
None of the below bets are formal bet recommendations for my service, as it’s still only a pre-season tournament and anything can happen. But they are bets that I’ve placed, and I am confident of turning a profit on them. I know there’s a strong Dragons focus…I’m not a secret Dragons fan, I assure you!
NRL Nines: Who will win?
This tournament is being held in Perth and is starting on Friday afternoon. While there’s plenty of talent on show, some teams have made their intentions clear and have sent poor sides.
The Roosters, with their World Club Championship match again St Helens on the horizon, have sent over a bunch of no-names and retired Sydney Swans player Nick Davis. The Raiders have also sent over a pretty weak team, as have the Storm, Knights and Manly. I can’t see these teams making the finals and would be amazed if any of them make the Grand Final.
So I’m putting a line through them.
As for the other 11 teams, I think it’s wide open. The money has come pouring in for the Broncos, Panthers, Eels and Sharks. All of these teams look strong, but out of them the Broncos are the pick for me. With some classy, young outside backs, Milford playing and mobile forwards of the quality of Haas and Fifita, they are the ones to look out for.
But at around $7, I don’t think there’s enough value to get on the Broncos at that price.
While the Eels look strong with guys like Ferguson, Sivo and Mises lining up, I think they’re also a little short. They have some big forwards playing and these guys could get exposed in the 9-a-side format. The Panthers look good too, but they really struggled to score points in 2019 so it will be interesting to see how they go in this format.
The Cowboys are a team I think should be shorter and was tempted to back them, but as a better value proposition I think the Dragons are being underrated by the market
With the experience of guys like Euan Aitken, Tyson Frizell, Ben Hunt, Tim Lafai and Cameron McInnes, and speed with the likes of Matt Dufty, Mikaele Ravalawa, Jason Saab, Tristan Sailor, Jayden Sullivan and Brayden Wiliame, the Dragons have named a mobile and well-rounded team. They’ll be hard to beat in any of their games.
— St George Illawarra Dragons (@NRL_Dragons) February 12, 2020
At the juicy price of 21 at BetEasy and 19 at TAB, Dragons to win the Nines is something I’ve bet on.
Dragons to beat the Sharks in Round 1 of the Nines at 2.70 or better
Dragons to win their Pool at 6.00 or better
NRL Nines: First round
In the first round of matches, the other play I’ve made is on the Doggies at +14.5 at 1.90 at Sportsbet (1.85 at TAB). With Nick Meaney, Jayden Okunbor, Kerrod Holland, Dean Britt, Corey Harawira-Naera and Joe Stimson, and young guns like Morgan Harper, Jake Averillo, Brandon Wakeham, the Bulldogs team is not as bad as the odds suggest in an 18-minute match. I think the Doggies offer a fair bit of value to cover the line.
Bulldogs +14.5 at 1.90 against the Eels
NRL Nines: Top Try Scorer
In such an open field, the short-priced favourites are at laughable odds. Sivo at $6 is criminally short – although he’s a complete gun, anything can happen!
Matt Dufty (Dragons) and Nofoaluma (Wests), both around $80, offer some speculative value
NRL Nines: Women’s Tournament
At the end of last year I started to have a bet on the WNRL, and I intend to do the same again when the season starts towards the end of the year.
For the Nines, I think the Dragons woman’s team offers sensational value to win the tournament at 3.25 at Bet365.
Bet on Dragons to win the Woman’s Nines at $3.25 at Bet365
While the Broncos beat the Dragons in the 13-a-side format in the WNRL 2019 Grand Final, the Dragons nines team is stacked with speed. They have nearly half the Australian Nines team lining up and stars like Shaylee Bent, Tiana Penitani, Jess Sergis and Shakiah Tungai are all noted speedsters.
Out of all the bets listed above, this is probably pick of the bunch! I would take anything down to $2.50 with confidence of getting a good return.
After four straight winning seasons with Champion Bets, NRL pro punter Steve Green is back for 2020.
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