afl round 13, afl round 18

Read on for AFL Round 18 early mail and value betting leans for each game…

AFL Round 18: Bulldogs v St Kilda, Friday night

Early prediction: Bulldogs
The value: Bulldogs -9.5 at TopSport

  • The loser of this prime-time game looks almost certain to miss the finals
  • Bulldogs will be excited to return to Marvel after a couple of tough interstate games
  • Saints have just one win from their last five and are struggling to score

AFL Round 18: Adelaide v Collingwood, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Collingwood easily
The value: Collingwood -10.5 at TopSport

  • Early money has been for Adelaide – $3.10 >> 2.75
  • Collingwood have won the last 5 meetings between the teams by an average of 37 points
  • Adelaide have lost 8 of last 10 with wins over just West Coast and North Melbourne in that period

GWS v Brisbane, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Brisbane
The value: Brisbane by 1-39 points at TopSport

  • Brisbane 4-1 in the past five matchups vs GWS (the loss was by 3 points)
  • Aside from the Suns back in Round 3, all of GWS’s wins this season have been against current bottom 4 sides
  • Selection upheaval last week at Brisbane due to COVID but their quality should get them over the line

North Melbourne v Richmond, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Tigers too good
The value: Total points over 175.5 at TopSport

  • Total points scored in Richmond games away from the MCG this season: 206, 221, 183, 201, 186
  • North may get the short-term ‘new coach bounce’ after sacking David Noble this week
  • But the Tigers will be on a mission after throwing away the Gold Coast game last week

Carlton v Geelong, Saturday night

Early prediction: Geelong
The value: Geelong -8.5 at TopSport

  • Geelong coming off 9-day break, Carlton just a 6-day break and coming in from WA
  • Carlton are 0-3 after 6-day breaks this season losing to Freo, Richmond and St Kilda
  • Geelong should be flag favourites after clinical display over Melbourne last week

Fremantle v Sydney, Saturday night

Early prediction: Freo
The value: Freo -8.5 at TopSport

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