afl round 12, afl round 20

Read on for AFL Round 20 early mail and value betting leans for each game…

AFL Round 20: Fremantle v Melbourne, Friday night

Early prediction: Fremantle
The value: Total points under 144.5 at TopSport

  • Fremantle beat Melbourne in Round 11 by 38 points (in Melbourne)
  • Melbourne has ZERO tackles inside 50 last week, that should improve this week
  • Last 4 meetings have seen a highest combined score of just 156 points

AFL Round 20: Collingwood v Port Adelaide, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Close
The value: Port +6.5 at TopSport

  • Pies win/loss is 13-5 and Power is 8-10, yet these teams have basically the same percentage this season
  • Port has been very competitive all year, including the last two weeks against the top two teams
  • The Pies are probably the biggest surprise of 2022 thanks to nine straight wins including a number of clutch victories

Sydney v GWS, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Sydney
The value: Sydney by 1-39 points at TopSport

  • GWS are battling, only winning 1 of their past 6 games
  • Sydney are going well with 6 wins from their past 8 games
  • Sydney derbies tend to be fairly close… only 1 of the past 6 has been 40+. There’s also been 2 one-point games and a two-pointer

St Kilda v Hawthorn, Saturday twilight

Early prediction: Saints
The value: Saints by 1-39 points at TopSport

  • Hawthorn has comfortably beaten the bottom three teams over the last three weeks
  • Saints don’t really blow teams away and have recorded just two big wins this season
  • St Kilda has won the last four in this head-to-head match-up

Geelong v Western Bulldogs, Saturday night

Early prediction: Geelong, but not a blowout
The value: Geelong by 1-39 points at TopSport

  • Bulldogs’ last win in Geelong was back in 2003
  • Geelong just keep on winning as they’re just very steady when the pressure is on
  • Stewart returns this week for Geelong

Adelaide v Carlton, Saturday night

Early prediction: Carlton
The value: Carlton -16.5 at TopSport

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