afl round 3

Read on for AFL Round 9 early mail and betting leans for each game…

AFL Round 9: Collingwood v Western Bulldogs, Friday night

Early prediction: Close
The value: Pies +9.5 at TopSport

  • The Bulldogs are injury depleted and look to be a long way from their best.
  • Prior to an average effort against Richmond, the Pies had played well for three straight weeks.
  • Collingwood has the better record (win-loss and percentage) this season so a 9 point start looks the value

AFL Round 9: North Melbourne v Port Adelaide, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: 4-5 goal win to Port
The value: Port by 1-39 at TopSport

  • Big rumblings about the coach at North this week.
  • After losing their first 5, Port have won their last 3.
  • North to keep this close for a half, Port too good in the end
Hawthorn v Richmond, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Tigers
The value: Tigers by 1-39 at TopSport

  • Tigers have shown improved form over the last two weeks to work their way into the Top 8.
  • Richmond has a sensational MCG record both straight-up and at the line.
  • Hawks started the season strongly but have now lost three straight
St Kilda v Geelong, Saturday twilight

Early prediction: Close
The value: Saints +5.5 at TopSport

  • A clash between two 5-3 teams with Top 4 aspirations.
  • Saints should have won in Round 7 but then were outclassed against the Demons.
  • Cats won well last week but have had quite an up-and-down season so far.
Sydney v Essendon, Saturday night

Early prediction: Lions
The value: Sydney by 1-39 at TopSport

  • Huge bounce-back game for Sydney after losing at home last week to the struggling Suns
  • Bombers were great last week against the Hawks in their peak performance this season
  • Bombers with enough confidence to test Sydney
Adelaide v Brisbane, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Lions
The value: Brisbane by 1-39 at TopSport

  • Brisbane is in fine form despite missing three key forwards (Daniher, Hipwood and now McStay).
  • Adelaide exceeded expectations early this season but have been smashed in their last two games.
  • Crows should be competitive here at home but it’s hard to see them beating Brisbane
AFL Round 9: Gold Coast v Fremantle, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Fremantle
The value: Fremantle by 1-39 at TopSport

GWS Giants v Carlton, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Blues
The value: Blues -3.5 at TopSport

  • The Giants have been very disappointing in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • Patrick Cripps is in career-best form to be the hot favourite for the Brownlow.
  • The Blues are in good form and look very even across all areas of the ground
West Coast Eagles v Melbourne, Sunday evening

Early prediction: Demons by how far
The value: Under 166.5 at TopSport

  • Melbourne is $1.02 after 14 straight wins.
  • Melbourne could “go easy” on the Eagles, little to gain by belting them.
  • West Coast have massive problems, won’t be fixed this week

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