2022 AFL Round 15: Early mail and betting leans for each game

Read on for AFL Round 15 early mail and value betting leans for each game…

AFL Round 15: Melbourne v Brisbane, Thursday night

Early prediction: Cracking game
The value: Lions +6.5 at TopSport

• Finally a full round of footy again and this one kicks off with the match of the season so far
• Both of these teams have 10-3 records and an almost identical percentage
• Brisbane is the fitter team with better recent form and go into this as underdogs

Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn, Friday night

Early prediction: Bulldogs in a close one
The value: Hawthorn +15.5 at TopSport

• Hawks hold an 8-3 record in this matchup over last 10 seasons
• Hawthorn coming off the bye, regain Gunston and Lewis
• Bulldogs have injury concerns with Weightman, Duryea to miss.

AFL Round 15: West Coast v Essendon, Friday night

Early prediction: Close
The value: West Coast +16.5 at TopSport

• Essendon to get Parish back, but lose McGrath
• West Coast’s 3-goal defeat last week by Geelong was their best performance of the season
• Can’t trust either team, so happy to take the points in for the Eagles

Carlton v Fremantle, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Close
The value: Freo H2H at TopSport

• Freo coming off the bye. Prior to that were wins against Hawthorn, Brisbane and Melbourne.
• Freo get Taberner back to stretch Carlton’s backline, and Fyfe will be much fitter.
• Carlton had chances against Richmond last week but are struggling for continuity in all positions at the moment
• Freo’s big forward line will be the difference

AFL Round 15: Geelong v Richmond, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Tigers
The value: Richmond +1.5 at TopSport

• Cats are chasing their fifth straight win as they build toward yet another Top 4 campaign
• Dangerfield is a likely big in for them this week, but that’s offset by Richmond getting Dusty back
• Tiges have six wins and a controversial loss at the SCG from their last seven games

Sydney v St Kilda, Saturday night

Early prediction: Sydney
The value: Sydney -14.5 at TopSport

• Both beaten last week, but the Swans kicked poorly and really only had one bad quarter
• Saints were worse than the scoreboard indicated, having 14 fewer scoring shots than the Bombers
• Swans are 4-2 at the SCG this year

$1.90

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AFL Round 15: North Melbourne v Adelaide, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Adelaide
The value: Adelaide -18.5 at TopSport

• North’s losing streak has extended to 11, and it’s hard to see where it will end.
• North have only covered the line twice this year
• North simply cannot score: 53 points is their highest total in the past 6 matches

$1.95

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Collingwood v GWS, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Collingwood
The value: Collingwood -14.5

• Collingwood coming off four straight wins, including thrashing the Dockers in Perth and beating Melbourne on Queen’s Birthday
• GWS defence looks very leaky – with the exception of their win over a hapless North, they’re conceding big scores every week
• Off-field scandals won’t worry the Pies once they step onto the ground.

$1.85

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AFL Round 15: Port Adelaide v Gold Coast, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Close
The value: Suns +14.5 at TopSport

• Gold Coast are in good form with five wins from their last six
• Port started the season slowly and have alternated wins and losses over their last five
• The Suns are playing well enough to be very competitive here

$1.90

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