afl round 4

Read on for AFL Round 4 early mail and betting leans for each game…

AFL Round 4: Port Adelaide v Melbourne, Thursday night

Early prediction: Melbourne to stay undefeated
The value: Dees 1-39, $2.05 at TopSport

  • Port has fallen right away this season and their forward line has been impotent
  • Melbourne’s superstar midfield has a big match-up edge over the Power
  • The Dees appear capable of raising their game any time they’re challenged
Geelong v Brisbane, Friday night

Early prediction: Brisbane
The value: Brisbane, $2.05 at TopSport

  • Early money for Brisbane
  • Brisbane won last meeting by 44pts after losing 11 of 12 prior
  • Ratugolea may play for Geelong but will be sore

AFL Round 4: Sydney v North Melbourne, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Sydney easily
The value: Sydney -42.5 at TopSport

  • Line looks light after North Melbourne’s shambolic display in Round 3
  • Sydney have won four in a row against North
  • Back-to-back road trips is tough for the young North side
Collingwood v West Coast, Saturday afternoon

Early prediction: Eagles to stay winless
The value: Pies -18.5 at TopSport

  • Injuries, COVID and an ageing list have combined for a horror start to the Eagles season
  • West Coast is now second-favourites (behind North Melbourne) for the wooden spoon
  • The Pies played some excellent high-pressure football against the Cats
AFL Round 4: Richmond v Bulldogs, Saturday night

Early prediction: Bulldogs
The value: Bulldogs -11.5 at TopSport

  • Richmond look to be just hanging on with a growing injury list
  • The Dogs finally clicked into gear against Sydney
  • Richmond’s injury-hit backline could struggle against the potent Bulldogs
Fremantle v GWS, Saturday night

Early prediction: Freo
The value: Fremantle 1-39, $2.32 at TopSport

  • GWS have an extensive injury list and Toby Greene still suspended
  • GWS are 1-6 at Optus Stadium
  • Mundy and Darcy back in the team will make Freo hard to beat
Essendon v Adelaide, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Essendon to get their first win
The value: Bombers -14.5 at TopSport

  • Adelaide needs to be wary of a letdown after their unbelievable after-the-siren Showdown win
  • Essendon has had a very tough draw to start the season taking on Geelong, Brisbane and Melbourne
  • The Bombers will be desperate to get their first victory and start to climb up the ladder
Hawthorn v St Kilda, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: St Kilda
The value: St Kilda, $1.77 at TopSport

  • St Kilda have won past three against Hawthorn
  • Round 2 Port Adelaide win looked good for Hawthorn, but in hindsight perhaps not as impressive
  • Max King looking ominous, Hawks don’t have an obvious match-up

AFL Round 4: Gold Coast v Carlton, Sunday afternoon

Early prediction: Gold Coast
The value: Gold Coast +9.5 at TopSport

  • Carlton really stopped in 2H last week v Hawks
  • Gold Coast have 8-day break
  • Look for the Suns to up their pressure game and keep this close

Don't spend this season making donations to the bookies. AFL Tips is back for 2022: get on board now and start betting with an edge.

Don’t Chase Losses: Protect Your Betting Bank


In theory, the growth in your betting bank – or any investment bankroll, perhaps – is reasonably straightforward. As it grows,…Read More

Player Bets: Why they’re a soft target and so profitable


Bookies offer a stack of side bets, player bets and other prop markets for all of the major sports. You’ve…Read More

Michael Jordan: The GOAT’s Great Gambling Tales


Sports fans across the world have hailed The Last Dance, the documentary series about Chicago Bulls’ dominance of the 1990s,…Read More