Spring racing continued into November, and our analysts were largely able to navigate the big volumes and big races and deliver positive results overall. The star of the show, without a doubt, was Cameron O’Brien’s Key Bets, who delivered a massive 40.2 units profit at 64 per cent profit-on-turnover. It’s a very pleasing reward for Cam, who has put together some great “mini runs” recently without maintaining it for a whole month. And he’s certainly not done yet… the start to December has been just as big, and the winners continue to flow.
Also on the national front, we saw DataBase Bets really hit its straps and return 34.9 units profit at 35 per cent PoT. This was a great result which reversed some of the earlier negative variance we’d seen, and showed what Andrew is really capable of. We’re expecting big things in the future.
The third big winner of the month was Dean’s Winners, which converted some great big-race results into a cracking 35.0 units profit at 26 per cent PoT. Unfortunately Dean’s other service,Trial Spy, didn’t fare as well, dropping 24.3 units for the month at -30 per cent PoT. This is disappointing in isolation, but it’s important to remember it’s just one month’s numbers… go back one month to October and Trial Spy won 36 units. It’s a great illustration of how punters benefit when they look beyond the short term and stick with the program.
The results for Trevor Lawson’s Melbourne Ratings were interesting this month. In the extremely competitive Melbourne racing market, Trev has struggled to find volume lately as bookmakers continue to drive market percentages up. But when Trev does find value, he strikes hard. That’s reflected in November’s results… 15.7 units profit at a whopping 45.2 per cent PoT. It shows that Trev continues to be an astute judge wherever he finds an opportunity. To assist with this, Trevor has started spreading his analysis further around Victoria, and is also providing his Melbourne Ratings members with selections on country racing, on top of his metro racing service.
It was a small losing month for The Professor’s Queensland Winners, which dropped 2.0 units at -4.0% PoT. It’s a disappointing results, but hardly a major concern for a service that has been running for fifteen months and still sits at 22.1 per cent PoT overall. It was a similarly frustrating month for Mark Rhoden’s NSW Winners, which dropped 3.3 units at -5.2 per cent PoT. While a disappointing result, it was somewhat of an improvement on the larger losses of October.
Scott Kellen’s NFL Tips finished at precisely break-even for November. As always, the margins in such a massive betting sport remain extremely tight! Two push results cost us this month – we had the Saints and the Bucs for under 51 (the exact score they finished on), and the Bucs +6 against the Seahawks, which finished 34 – 40. That’s 4.5 units profit which puts us close to 10 per cent PoT for the month. Fine margins!
November saw somewhat of a return to reality for NFL Prime Time. After a ridiculous 45 units profit at 35% PoT in October, November saw a small loss of 5.4 units at -4.2 per cent PoT.
It’s been a relatively slow start to the season for NBA Tips with Kris Dawson, which currently sits at -14.3 units at -12 per cent PoT. As predicted, this service has a lot of bets – we had 123 bets in November, which is huge for a sports betting service. What that means, of course, is we have ample opportunity to overcome variance, with the season running all the way through to June 2020.
On the other hand, it was a huge month for NBA Specials from Brett’s Betting Syndicate. Brett’s player props model has been on fire early in the season across multiple sports, and that resulted in 39.1 units profit at 12 per cent PoT on the NBA for November.
The Golf Insider recorded a small loss of 7.1 units for November at -18% PoT..Again, we had some solid results without landing that big-priced winner which really kicks things into overdrive. This is merely a matter of timing… the Gold Insider’s focus in outright markets is mispriced players at longer odds, so we can usually expect a decent wait between wins… but when they come, they’re very big!
Our best results for the month came on Victor Perez in the WGC-HSBC Championship. We backed him each-way for First Round Leader, collecting at $23.50 for the place We also collected on him for a Top 20 overall finish, and in the three-ball contest.
Close results in the outright market were Brian Gay at the Bermuda Championship at $34, Perez again at the Turkish Open, also at $34, Harris English at $41 at the Mayakoba Classic and Brendan Todd ($41) and Scottie Scheffler ($29) at the RSM Classic. We collected on all these players for the place, but none were able to crack it for the win. We’re so close and the Golf Insider is clearly seeing the form very well… the big win is not far away!