- Full preview of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am with The Golf Insider
- Four value picks between $23 and $201
This week’s PGA action is on the picturesque, iconic Monterrey peninsula in California for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
This is always a good event, held over three different courses but centred principally around Pebble Beach – the host course for last year’s US Open.
AT&T Pebble Beach: The Tournament
A standing dish on the early season schedule, the AT&T sponsored Pebble Beach Pro-Am is one of the oldest events on tour, dating back to 1937. The Pro-Am aspect, given we’re in California, has long given the tournament some celebrity glamour with a host of big showbiz names teaming up with the pros. A distraction to some, a plus for others… which explasin a few big-priced winners in recent years.
AT&T Pebble Beach: The Course
There are three courses in use this week. None of them overly long or too severe given the number of amateurs in the field. The main problem for players is the weather with windy, stormy coastal conditions often affecting the tournament.
The main course used is Pebble Beach Golf Links which measures 6,816 yards and is a par 72. Then there’s Spyglass Hill (6,953 yards – par 72) and Monterey Peninsula Country Club (6,867 yards – par 71). The field plays each course once in Rounds 1-3, then all those players who make the 54-hole cut head back to Pebble Beach for the final round.
265: Brandt Snedeker (2015)
60: Sung Kang (Monterey, 2016)
62: David Duval (Pebble Beach, 1997)
62: Luke Donald (Spyglass Hill, 2006).
AT&T Pebble Beach: Past Winners
2019: Phil Mickelson
2018: Ted Potter Jr
2017: Jordan Spieth
2016: Vaughn Taylor
2015: Brandt Snedeker
AT&T Pebble Beach: The Field
Even allowing for celebrities, there’s a standard PGA Tour line-up here this week. Dustin Johnson is the $7.50 favourite with BetEasy.
AT&T Pebble Beach: The Weather
This event has seen some bad weather over the years, but this week’s forecast is good. Very little chance of rain and cool temperatures in the mid to high teens. The wind, a crucial factor on the coast, looks pretty benign, reaching a high of 12-14mph over the weekend.
— ATTPebbleBeachProAm (@attproam) February 5, 2020
AT&T Pebble Beach: Value outright bets
Brandt Snedeker (currently $21 with BetEasy)
I’m a big fan of “Sneds” and he’s someone who has rewarded our support over the years. This 9-time PGA Tour winner can boast two previous wins at Pebble Beach (2013 & 2015), and like Bubba Watson last week, he’s a player who does very well on courses where he has previous form (he’s also a double winner of the Wyndham Championship, and the Farmers Insurance Open). He also holds the tournament record for this event, set in 2015.
With a solid all-round game, Snedeker should once again thrive in this week’s conditions. Yes, he missed the cut in Phoenix last week, but before that he was third at the Farmers. My only concern this week is his price, which is right on the wire for me. The kicker is, Johnson aside, I think the head of the market is generally too short about a number of players. And below them there’s not huge strength in depth (not on current form anyway). I’m more than happy to back him…he’s done us proud in the past and is proven on this week’s three-course format.
Cameron Champ (currently $41 with BetEasy)
We backed Champ a couple of weeks back when he did little wrong at La Quinta He only finished T16th due to a poor last round, and was right in the mix before the last round. Champ only joined the tour in 2019, and has two titles to his name (one of them being the win we had on him at 150/1 in the Safeway Open). So he knows how to win, sits well in the key stats this week (ranking 18th for Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green), and is in good form.
As a native of California he’ll have no trouble with the conditions this week, and a Top 30 here on debut 12 months ago backs this up (would have been much better but for a Round 1 73). You know I like this guy a lot and although his game still lacks consistency, he has great potential and is certainly trending the right way. In an event that looks very open Champ has a very good chance of challenging over the weekend.
Maverick McNealy (currently $151 with BetEasy)
McNealy has got off to a flier on his first full season on the PGA Tour and has made the last 8 cuts in a row, the latest of which was 15th place at the Farmers Insurance Open. That’s an impressive form line given the competition that week. He’s shot in the 60s in 17 of his last 28 rounds, and hasn’t shot worse than 72 in his last 21 rounds. His stats are impressive too, ranking 13th in Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green and 18th in Strokes Gained: Total out of this week’s field over the last 12 rounds played.
McNealy was a former No.1 amateur and went through a lot of rough patches shortly after turning pro with the weight of expectation weighing heavily on his shoulders. It wasn’t until his LPGA girlfriend (Danielle Kang) introduced him to Butch Harmon that his form turned around and he hasn’t looked back since. With Butch in his corner this youngster looks to be going from strength to strength and looks a decent each-way play to continue this great form this week.
DJ Trahan (currently $201 with BetEasy)
Trahan is a cracking bet this week… I can’t understand why he’s such a big price considering the nature of this event. Trahan was playing solid golf before he nearly won the RSM Classic, which he led until a poor Sunday saw him finish in 8th place. He continued his good form at the start of this season when he finished 28th in Hawaii, but has tailed off since. His ball-striking over the last three events has still been impressive however. He ranks 10th in Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green out of all the competitors this week over the last 12 rounds. He’s also 9th in Ball Striking.
He has two Top 10s to his name at this event, and finished 18th here last year. Trahan has been hugely underestimated this week. If he can sort out his short game there’s every chance he can contend. Being a pro-am, the greens should be a lot slower and easier for players who can struggle on the dancefloor. 200/1 looks a great each-way play to me.
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