Broncos v Souths, Broncos vs Sharks, NRL Round 20

Broncos vs Sharks preview from rugby league expert Steve Green including recommended bet.

Steve Green has four straight winning seasons under his belt as the Champion Bets NRL analyst. He provides a comprehensive membership offering tips and in-depth previews. 

The Sharks come into this match having won five of their last six. During those six matches they have averaged 33 points per game, led by the in-form Shaun Johnson. So you may be wondering why I’m keen to bet against them this weekend?

Firstly, I do not think Ramien will play. If he couldn’t play on against the Dragons in the local derby because of his hamstring, I’d be very surprised if it has settled down enough six days later to take on Broncos. The Sharks have had a horror run with hamstring injuries, so they will surely rest him closer to the kickoff. But if he does play, then I reckon the chance of him going down early injured is pretty high.

On top of Ramien, I think the Sharks will be without Townsend, Moylan and Fifita for this one. When you throw in the fact that they lose Josh Morris at the beginning of the season to the Roosters and Xerri to doping charges, this has been a good turn around by the Sharks… but it pays to look at who they have played recently.

Since the competition resumed in Round 3, the Sharks have only had to play two teams currently placed in the top 8 – out of nine games! That means seven of those games were against teams outside the top 8. The first one of the top 8 teams the Sharks played was the 8th placed Manly. The Sharks beat them in Round 7, but it is worth noting that Manly were without Tom T and Dylan Walker for that match, and the Sharks still conceded 22 points.

The other time they played a top 8 team, it was the Panthers in Round 9. The current ladder leaders blew them off the park, piling on 56 points. So when faced with a quality opponent, the Sharks defence appears to be very vulnerable (conceding 39 points on average in those two games).

While the Sharks have piled on the points in their other games, during their recent purple patch they have beaten the Titans, Warriors, Bulldogs and the Dragons. Obviously Brisbane are not the heavyweights they once were, but I would be a lot more worried if the Sharks were coming into this match having beaten quality teams consistently.

In contrast, while the Broncos have been woeful since the competition returned, in their nine games since the competition resumed, the Broncos have played five top 8 teams including the Eels, Roosters and Storm.

The Broncos still worry me, of course. But recently they have welcomed back enough talent that injuries are no longer an excuse for this squad.

I think the Sharks centres are both under a big injury cloud and their team is dealing with a lot of disruption. At home, I think the Broncos will take this down to the wire.

Broncos vs Sharks: predicted score

Sharks 25

Broncos 24

Broncos vs Sharks: recommended bets

  • Bet 2 Units on Broncos +4.5
  • Bet 1 Unit on Broncos H2H

Don’t forget, TopSport have $2 lines on NRL once final teams are confirmed. You won’t get a better price on the Broncos vs Sharks line anywhere.

And check out the NRL Line Ladder for each teams’ record against the betting line.

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