Eels vs Dragons preview from rugby league expert Steve Green including recommended bets.
Steve Green has four straight winning seasons under his belt as the Champion Bets NRL analyst. He provides a comprehensive membership offering tips and in-depth previews.
With the Eels welcoming back Matterson for this one, they’re at full strength and back at Bankwest Stadium. Coming off the back of a gritty win against the Sharks, I think the Eels are being unfairly dismissed by some that think the Storm and Panthers are miles ahead. The Eels still have all the hallmarks of a Premiership team, with no obvious weaknesses.
But there’s no denying that their draw has proven to be very weak, having not played a top 4 team since they were beaten by the Roosters in Round 6. Since then, while they have put in some good performances, they have also looked vulnerable at times.
An under-strength Manly got them at Brooky in Round 10, while they were lucky to win against the Knights in Round 9 and Bulldogs in Round 12. Their average winning margin in their last four wins is five points. When you look at their stats for the last months, the Eels have only made 16 line breaks. That is ranked ninth in the NRL and only one ahead of the Dragons.
However a more worrying stat for the Eels are errors. With 53 over the last month of footy, the Eels rank second-worst for errors made. In contrast, the Dragons have made 34 errors in the past month, which is the best in the NRL.
While the Dragons have looked incredibly clunky at time, I do not agree with some of Mary critics that have suggested Many had lost the dressing room. Before the Roosters game last weekend, I said that if the Dragons didn’t cover the line, then I thought that would the end of his coaching career. Lucky for us, a late Dufty try ensured they covered, but the outcome of the was enough to seal Mary’s fate. The point is – I would be amazed if the Dragons do not come out firing for this one.
Guys like Hunt, Norman and Aitken owe Mary for sticking loyal for so long, and I do not think these guys are playing as poorly as the rabble on Twitter suggest. I like that Hunt is at 9, McInnes at 13 and Dufty at 1. The Dragons wingers are highly underrated and with Aitken and Lomax firing, I think the Dragons have enough to worry the Eels (and they will not die wondering tonight!).
I think the Eels will be a little too good to lose this one. The +12 on the Dragons is a few points bigger than I would have it.
Eels vs Dragons: predicted score
Eels vs Dragons: recommended bets
- Bet 2 Units on Dragons +12
- Bet 0.5 Units on Ravawala vs Ferguson – full time try matchups
Don’t forget, TopSport have $2 lines on NRL once final teams are confirmed. You won’t get a better price on the Eels vs Dragons line anywhere.
And check out the NRL Line Ladder for each teams’ record against the betting line.
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