Panthers vs Storm preview from expert NRL analyst Steve Green, including recommended bets
The Panthers matched the Eels in nearly every facet of the game last weekend, however there was a clear difference in tackle breaks and missed tackles. The Eels broke 38 of the Panthers’ tackles, while the Panthers only broke 20 of the Eels tackles.
Cleary continues to be the player to target in the Panther’s defensive line. He missed eight tackles last weekend and had six ineffective tackles. Luai wasn’t much better with five missed tackles of his own. That’s 13 between them, whereas the Eels halves pairing of Brown and Moses only missed four combined.
Surprisingly however, the Panthers actually have the least amount of missed tackles in the NRL. They have 102, which is four less than the Storm who rank third on 106. Another surprising stat is that the Panthers have made the least amount of errors in the competition with only 46. Whereas the Storm have made a whopping 65 errors.
So the common perception might be that the Storm are the disciplined team that rarely miss a tackle. But it’s actually the Panthers that have shown those characteristics. With Cleary in and out of the team due to the Tik Tok fiasco, the Panthers haven’t managed to build much cohesion. And although they’ve lost Capewell to injury, this is still a very strong-looking Panthers lineup.
As for the Storm, they go in unchanged after an impressive win against the Knights. The Storm got back into their old habit of starting fast, which is something they (along with the Roosters and Eels) have shown is the stamp of a quality team in 2020. With a big forward pack and the trio of Smith, Munster and Papenhuyzen looking dangerous every time they touch it, there’s enough class to challenge for the competition. But I do worry that they still have some players not fulfilling their potential at present.
Addo-Carr looks disinterested at times and his numbers are well down on previous seasons. Kaufusi and K Bromwich are not finding the metres they have in the past, and Big Nelson has looked a little underdone due to his lack of match fitness.
So while the Storm are still a quality team and will be very hard to beat in this one, I do think that the commute to Campbelltown from Melbourne will take its toll and the boys from the foot of the mountains will be up for the challenge in this one.
I cannot split them and think that the plus is good value, as well a small additional bet at the head to head.
Panthers vs Storm: recommended bets
Bet 2 Units on Panthers +4
Bet 1 Unit on Panthers to win
Don’t forget, TopSport have $2 lines on NRL once final teams are confirmed. You won’t get a better price on the Panthers vs Storm line anywhere.
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