Sea Eagles vs Warriors preview from rugby league expert Steve Green including recommended bet.
Steve Green has four straight winning seasons under his belt as the Champion Bets NRL analyst. He provides a comprehensive membership offering tips and in-depth previews.
Watching Manly this year has been very interesting. Guys like Fonua-Blake and DCE are playing as well as ever, but without Tom T at 1 due to his ongoing injury concerns, and Fainu at 9, this year was always going to be tricky. Ever since I gave Levi a roasting, his form has improved a lot… but his general service at dummy half is a fair way off what Fainu offered. Fainu was so creative around the ruck, and so strong he could often stand and offload. Without that option, Manly have become a lot more predictable and all the Manly forwards are suffering as a result.
Out wide, Manly have had to make more changes with the HIA suffered by Parker. While Parker is not exactly an NRL superstar, he is a very solid defender and I am sure the Warriors will be looking at coming down that side of the field to try and take advantage of Funa’s inexperience.
Whatever stats you look at, Manly’s lost month of footy has been pretty had. In their past four games, they’ve ranked third-last in metres made and fifth-last in line breaks. But most concerning for Manly is their metres conceded over the past month. With over 7100 metres conceded in four games, Manly rank worst in the NRL over the last month! Over that same period, Warriors have conceded only 5700 (which is about 350 less metres conceded per game!).
As for the Warriors, my newfound confidence in them comes from the coaching prowess of interim coach Payten. Everything he has done to date I agree with. His player selections are on point and I like that he has allowed Green to move on and is going to be giving Harris-Tavita a chance to really show what he can do alongside Kodi. With those two in halves, Lawton improving at 9 and Roger at the back, the Warriors will fancy their chances in this one.
As for Manly, Sironen has been named and is set to be played. But his knee does look concerning so I think he might be below 100%, while Joel T’s numbers have also been a bit down of late.
Whichever way you look, Manly’s 2020 performances are down on their 2019 efforts. Yet the market keeps pricing this Manly team as if they’re just about to break free and put on 50 points. For example, Garrick has one try in 2020 after 12 games, where this time last year he had six tries. On the other wing Taufua has made 13 errors, while at the same time last year he had made only 8 errors.
Manly are still a good team. Playing at home and desperate for the win, I think they’ll get the two points. But I liked the head start that was on offer for a Warriors team that has improved their play in recent weeks. The Warriors have been hot and cold in 2020, but under Payten some of that volatility is gone and I like the position we have taken on this one.
Sea Eagles vs Warriors: predicted score
Sea Eagles 20
Sea Eagles vs Warriors: recommended bets
- Bet 2 Units on Warriors +8.5
- Bet 1 Unit on Warriors H2H
Don’t forget, TopSport have $2 lines on NRL once final teams are confirmed. You won’t get a better price on the Sea Eagles vs Warriors line anywhere.
And check out the NRL Line Ladder for each teams’ record against the betting line.